CORPORATE PRESENTATION July 2015
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Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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AFRICAN-ASIAN PORTFOLIO
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
Slide 3
STRATEGY Positioned to thrive in uncertain times
VALUE CREATION THROUGH EXPLORATION
FOCUS ON ROCE THROUGH CAPITAL ALLOCATION AND COST MANAGEMENT
ACTIVE PORTFOLIO AND RISK MANAGEMENT
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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OPHIR DOES NOT THINK LIKE A TRADITIONAL, FULL CYCLE E&P Ophir is BIG E and little p
CASH
EXPLORATION
• Exploration is focus for creation of shareholder value • Unique position to deliver high graded portfolio due to strong balance sheet and minimal well commitments
DEVELOPMENT
RETURN TO SHAREHOLDERS
PRODUCTION
• Self-funded development activity
• Production is a financing stream for E&A activity
• Minimal existing capital will be deployed to developments
• Reserves replacement and production growth are not key metrics • Assets must break even at low oil price
A SELF-SUSTAINING EXPLORER DELIVERING SUPERIOR RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
Slide 5
TOP OF CYCLE
EXPLORATION – A UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY STAGE 1: ENTRY
STAGE 2: SEISMIC
STAGE 3: DRILLING
High Signature Bonus Seismic Multiple Wells
High costs
High cost Mainly commitment Wells
PROGRESS
BOTTOM OF CYCLE
DROP
Small/No Signature Bonus Seismic inherited
Rig costs down c. 30% Only drill top ranked prospects
Costs down c. 50%
DROP
DROP
PROGRESS DROP
ALL THREE COST COMPONENTS DROPPED IN PRICE - RISK OF ROCKS IS UNCHANGED
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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HIGH GRADED EXPLORATION PORTFOLIO Minimal commitments, low cost entry
2014
2015
FINAL WELLS IN IPO PORTFOLIO
MATURING PLAYS FOR HIGH GRADING
5 PLAYS
12 PLAYS
2 Established 3 New tests
Aru Trough (oil) EG (oil) G4/50 (oil) Gabon pre-salt (oil) Gabon post-salt (oil) Gabon conjugate margin (oil) Kenya (oil/gas) Kerendan (gas) Makassar Straights (oil/gas) Myanmar (gas) Seychelles (oil) Western Birds Head (oil)
• 8 commitment wells in 2014 • c.$500 MM in commitments to build IPO portfolio
• • • •
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
CAPITAL DISCIPLINE
ONLY PROGRESS TOP RANKED PROSPECTS
WALK AWAY FROM PROSPECTS THAT WON’T WORK
2016/17 DRILLING ON HIGH GRADED PLAYS • Discipline to only drill preferred prospects
• Must be clear path to commercialisation
Doubled exploration footprint 1 deepwater well commitment $100 MM of committed E&A spend 2015-2017 $50 MM to build new portfolio
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SELF FUNDING DEVELOPMENT ASSETS No fresh capital deployed to development
• Not all barrels are equal • We explore for high quality barrels that generate cash in a low price environment • Project equity is a source of capital SELF FUND
TOTAL VOLUME 2C: 1152 MMboe
TANZANIA W.I. 20%
EQUATORIAL GUINEA W.I. 80%
First gas 2022
First gas 2020
2P RESERVES
KERENDAN
First gas 2016
W.I. 75%
2nd phase of dev.
BUALUANG
On production
W.I. 100%
PRODUCTION
3rd phase of dev.
CASH FOR E&A SELF FUND
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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DIVERSIFIED ASSET PORTFOLIO Providing value and basis for significant production growth Tanzania LNG
Cash Flow Composition by Asset 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40%
Fortuna FLNG
30% 20% 10% 0% 2015
2016
2014
2015
Bualuang Expansion
Kerendan
10-12 Salamander mboepd acquired ‘15
- Sinpuhorn
Total production in 2020 above 35 mboepd
2017 - Buluang
2018
2019
- Kerendan
- Block R
2020
Material resource base offering significant and predictable cash flow • Current production from assets on- and offshore Thailand • Near-term production onshore Indonesia – first gas in 2016 • Further expansion of Kerendan and Bualuang
2016
2017
2018
2019
Additional volumes if current equity in Fortuna FLNG is retained Corporate Presentation – July 2015
2020
• Medium-term production from Equatorial Guinea FLNG – production start estimated for 2019 • World class pre-development stage asset in Tanzania with proven commerciality Slide 9
CAPEX AND COSTS Low levels of commitment spend, strong balance sheet, high degree of flexibility • 2015 capex 53% down on 2014 - 2015 capex forecast $250-300 MM
• E&A capex down c. 60% on 2014
2015 CAPEX – E&P Vs P&D Pre-Development
35%
Development
25%
E&A
40%
• $250 MM of cost savings - Capex revisions - G&A reductions: closing 5 offices - Acquisition synergies
• High degree of financial flexibility - Only $35 MM of commitment spend in 2015 - Total E&A commitment spending of $100 MM through end 2017; c. 9% of YE 2014 cash - $150 MM carrying cost to FID for LNG projects
2015 CAPEX - Discretionary vs Commitment Discretionary
85%
Commitment
15%
• Fully funded for 3 years on current plan - Flexibility to scale back capex if required - Combination of cash, debt and cashflow
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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DEVELOPMENTS
LNG OVERVIEW Four key things required to make an LNG project work
EQUATORIAL GUINEA
TANZANIA
1
RESOURCES
• 3.4 TCF • 2.2 Mtpa project
• 15 TCF • 3 trains of LNG
2
FISCAL TERMS
• Agreed
• Agreed
3
JV PARTNER ALIGNMENT
• Ophir & GEPetrel
• Project team working well • All companies well respected
4
LAND / MIDSTREAM
• Chartering agreement to be finalised
• Land identified but yet to be formally awarded
MILESTONES
Bringing in Upstream partner
Award of Land
BUYERS Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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FLNG IS RIGHT SOLUTION IN EG, UPSTREAM COMPONENT WITHIN OPHIR’S ABILITY TO OPERATE Why FLNG appropriate solution • Biogenic gas, 99.7% methane – clean and simple
• Benign meta-oceanic conditions
Why Ophir can be the Upstream operator • Operator’s role in Upstream development relatively straightforward - Drill, complete and tie-back to vessel
• $1.5bn of Midstream capex turned into opex • c. $0.8bn of Upstream capex to first gas
• Self fund once farmed out - Only progress to FID if equity has been reduced
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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FLNG VALUE CHAIN (PRICES INDICATIVE) UPSTREAM PSC
NETBACK
MIDSTREAM
SHIPPERS
LNG BUYERS
CASH Paid for Liquefaction Tariff by Contractor (Ophir/GEPetrol) & Government to FLNG operator
CASH Paid by LNG Buyer to OPHIR/SONAGAS for LNG Cargo at FOB Price
Delivered LNG Cargo price
FOB
$8.5/MMbtu
DES
$10.00/MMbtu
$ CASHFLOW
$5.0/MMbtu $3.5/mmbtu
LNG Buyer pays for Shipping
$1.5/mmbtu
Government
LNG (GAS) FLOW Royalty 7%-17% Cost Recovery (Ophir/GEPetrol) MMIE Profit Share Ophir Profit Share
Netback Price used in PSC for calculating and valuing Royalty, Cost Recovery and Profit Gas
Income Tax paid by Ophir GEPetrol Profit Share
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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LOW BREAKEVEN COSTS FOR LNG PROJECTS Breakeven cost stack of projects yet to take FID 16
12
100
80
10 8
60
6
40
4
Additional demand (mmtpa)
Delivered price $/MMbtu
14
120
EG costs reduction of c.$1/MMbtu following Golar appointment not reflected here
20
2 0
0
FOB Break Even $/mmbtu
Shipping to Toyko Bay $/mmbtu
Cumulative mmtpa
Additional demand required by 2025
1 Data
taken from IHS Waterborne – General assumption that upstream requires 15% and Liquefaction 12% US Liquefaction based on $4/mmbtu HH and a tolling fee of between $3.00-4.00/mmbtu
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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EXPLORATION
THAILAND – NEAR-FIELD EXPLORATION DRILLING Step out from Bualuang oil field • • • •
G4/50 surrounds production licence Blanket 3D over licence 18 locations have approved EIAs 2 wells in 2H 2015
Ophir reviewing prospect inventory • Locations to be approved mid year • 2 wells to be drilled in Q4 • Follow up drilling dependent on initial results
B8/38-2 Deep NW2
Bua Nin Duen Chai West Soy Siam Rak
Low cost drilling • Less than $10 MM per well • Offset 50% of cost against Bualuang production tax
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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GABON – HIGH-GRADING EXPLORATION PROSPECTS Building on learnings from 2014 • Saw all elements of hydrocarbon system • Update geological model • Apply learnings to interpretation of new 3D data
New oil play emerging • Awarded Nkouere and Nkawa blocks outboard of previous acreage • Conjugate margin play • Analogous to Bara discovery, offshore Brazil
3D seismic survey shot in 4Q 2014 • • • •
Shot over 10,000 sq km 3D survey No drilling commitment Seismic interpretation and prospect hi-grading in 2015 Possible drilling in 2016
Looking for prospects between 250 – 500 MMbo
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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MYANMAR – LEADING DEEPWATER EXPLORATION 95% operated interest in Block AD-03 • • • •
Located in Rakhine Basin On trend with 9 Tcf Shwe gas field Pipeline to China (current price c.$9/mcf) No drilling commitment
3D seismic survey commenced March 2015 • Committed to shoot 2,500 sq km • 3D prices down by 65% • Shooting a 10,000 sq km survey
First mover advantage • Only company capturing seismic in current weather window • 6-12 months ahead of other companies in terms of work programme
Preliminary mapping on existing 2D indicates prospects of up to 40 Tcf
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK •
Development assets self funding
•
Cost and capex reduction of $250 MM in 2015/16
•
YE ‘15 cash expected to be $700 MM - $750 MM
•
Fully funded until end 2017 on current work programme
•
Unique opportunity to access high quality portfolio with minimal commitments
•
Disciplined approach to capital allocation – focus on ROCE
•
Sustain a world class exploration track record
FORTUNE FAVOURS THE BRAVE! Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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Level 4 123 Victoria Street London SW1E 6DE UNITED KINGDOM
Tel: +44 (0)29 7811 2400 Fax: +44 (0)20 7811 2421
For further information contact:
Geoff Callow Head of IR and Corporate Communications
[email protected]
EQUATORIAL GUINEA Six commercial gas discoveries have been made within Block R Appraisal Area (green):
Oreja Marina
• 2002 Exxon: Estrella de Mar
Tonel
• 2008 Ophir: Fortuna, Lykos • 2012 Ophir: Tonel, Viscata
Estrella De Mar
• 2014 Ophir: Silenus East
Silenus East Undrilled Silenus Hub prospects
Exploration Area (red): • Possible 7TCF (Unrisked and high risk)
Fortuna Complex
Lykos Viscata
Recoverable Resources (TCF):
1C
2C
3C
Ophir Discovery
2.4
2.7
3.2
Ophir Discovery + Risked Silenus Hub
3.0
3.4
4.1
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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BLOCK R – SCHEMATIC CROSS SECTION
Silenus
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
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BALANCE SHEET Fully funded for next 3 years, high degree of financial flexibility
$1,400
$1,200
~ $150m
$250m-$300m
$1,000
$800
$600
$970m
Only $35m
$400
$700m - $750m of cash YE 2015
of E&A commitment spend
$200
$0 Cash YE'14
Corporate Presentation – July 2015
OCF
Capex
Other
Cash YE 2015
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