China Oilfield Services Limited Investor Presentation
January 2011
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The information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your personal reference. In addition, such information contains projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on assumptions subject to various risks. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the Company’s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. Past track record cannot be use as guidance for future performances
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Macro and Industry Outlook for 2011
Company Prospects in 2011
Global Economy & Oil Price Trends Oil prices are expected to rise
Slow recovery of the global economy GDP Growth Global
Historial Price BNP JP Morgan Barclays Goldman Sachs
120
2008 2.8%
2009
2010E
-0.6%
2011E
4.8%
4.2%
110
CICC Morgan Stanley BofA Merrill Lynch UBS Average Price Forecast
103.0
100
96.5 90
85.6
Developed Countries
0.2%
Developing countries
6.0%
-3.2%
2.7%
2.2%
80
79.1 70
2.5%
7.1%
6.4%
Source: IMF forecasts
US economy saw steady recovery, but its
unemployment is still hovering at high levels Debt crises in Europe remain unresolved, creating
uncertainties for global economic recovery High inflation in emerging countries has impact
on fiscal and monetary policies Uneven paces of recovery of different
economies brought about potential unbalance to global economy
60 50 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
Institutions estimated global crude oil demand
will grow at 2.1% and 1.5% in 2010 and 2011 respectively Increases in demand will mainly come from
emerging economies, averaged at 4% and 3.2% in 2010 and 2011 respectively Idle capacities in OPEC and output growth from
non-OPEC countries will be able to meet the growth in demand in the next two years
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Increasing CAPEX of Oil Companies 油服市场有望回暖 US$ billion
25
2010E
2011E
20 15 10 5 0 Source: Barclays Capital
Aggregate capital expenditure on global oil and gas exploration will reach US$489.5 billion in
2011, up 10.8% yoy. The expenditure in for oil companies based in the Asia Pacific region will increase by about 9% yoy. CNOOC Group has successfully constructed an “Offshore Daqing” oilfield in China waters. Will
intensify its offshore oil and gas exploration, development and production efforts during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan. CAPEX of CNOOC will increase 55% yoy In deep-water operations, CNOOC plans to build 2 to 3 independent deep-water wells in 2011, while
the volumes of 2D and 3D seismic data collection are expected to reach 19,967 km and 17,129 km2. respectively
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油服 Scale of Global Oilfield Service Market Increases Unit: US$ billion
300
Size of global oilfield service market
40%
Growth rate
250 200
20%
150 100
0%
50 -20%
0 2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010E
Source: Spears & Associates Oilfield Market Report
The rebound on oil prices drove the recovery of global oilfield services market and demand, of which: z
the size of offshore drilling market increased slowly
z
the size of geophysical market started to rebound and is expected to increase significantly in 2011
z
MS&T saw growth in work volume and demand due to the rising importance of deep-water activities and increasing geophysical activities
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Drilling Market is Recovering Slowly 油服 Drilling rig utilization & contracted rates No. of Rigs (left axis)
With contract (left axis)
In operation (left axis)
Index for rig day rates and oil prices
Utilization rate (right axis)
Day Rate Index (LHS)
WTI (RHS) USD/Barrel
1,200
150
1,000
130
800
110
600
90
400
70
200
50
0
30
Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Source: ODS-Petrodata
Note: Day-rate index is derived according to the weighted average levels in major offshore drilling markets. 1994=100 Source :Upstream, ODS-Petrodata, Bloomberg
Although oil prices have started to rebound, supply of drilling rigs still outstripped demand Utilization rate continued to rise yet with volatility, while day rates did not change significantly Recently, the demand for high-spec jack-up rigs is increasing in an obvious pace; differentiation in
service prices emerge as structural differentiation of large-scale equipment gathers pace
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Macro and Industry Outlook for 2011
Company Prospects in 2011
Strategic Plan for Next 5 Years
Structure optimization; Be competitive & professional; Focus on development quality
Technology-driven
Drilling
Cost Leadership
Integration
Internationalization
Reinforce advantages, gradually shift focus to high-end equipment, and speed up internationalization process
Well Services
Enhance R&D capability, increase R&D’s segmental contribution, upgrade technical strength, increase proportion of self-developed products to improve competitiveness
Marine Support & Transportation Services
Optimize fleet structure, move to high-end market, and lock in domestic market share
Geophysical
Focus on technological innovation, upgrade technical strength, optimize equipment structure, and seize opportunities to exploit new businesses
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Drilling*
Equipment Structure Optimization
Operation Depth (ft)
≤250 ft ≤250英尺 11 rigs
300 ft 300英尺 6 rigs
375 ft 375英尺 5 rigs
400 ft 400英尺 5 rigs
2500 ft 2500英尺 3 rigs
250
10,000 ft 10000英尺 1 rig
300
375 400
1500 2500 10000
No of vessels
已有
在建
Geophysical *
47 30
8 18
10 0
已有
10
40
20
1艘
• Realize phased equipment structure optimization and upgrade 1.Moving from shallow to deep waters 2.Lower overall age of drilling rig fleet, with over 50% of the JU aged less than 5yrs 3.Increase high-powered vessels in MS&T fleet and realize diversity 4.Optimize geophysical fleet and improve efficiency • Newly-built high-end equipment helped participate in international competition
No. of vessels 50
MS&T*
≥1500 ft ≤1500英尺 3 rigs
4
5
4
4
3
5
8
在建
1
6 4
8
2
1 4
0 Geophysical 物探船 Vessels
Exploration 工程勘察船Vessels
10 *Equipment count for drilling and geophysical segments as at 2012, vessels under construction until 2013
CAPEX & Equipment Delivery Plan Capacity Enhancement
2010 • Two 350-feet drilling rigs commenced operation • Two 200-feet drilling
Drilling
rigs(921&922 ) delivered • Pioneer delivered
•Two 200-feet drilling rigs(921 &922 ) to commerce operation
MS&T
•Innovator to commence operation
to be delivered
•Promoter to be delivered
•Pioneer to commence operation
•Equipment to be delivered in 2011
•Innovator to be delivered
will bring more operation days in
delivered*
Well Services
•Pioneer operating days to increase
• Two 200-feet drilling (923&924)
•Ultra deep water HYSY 981 to be
• Two liftboats
2012
2011
2012. Working volume in deep-water business will further enhanced
•Deep water related well services
• Well services equipment
•Vessels introducing acidification and crushing delivered for operation
• 1 well-workover support barge
• 2 deep water ATHS vessels • Underwater cable team
Geophysical
• 1 underwater cable team
•12-streamer seismic vessel, deep-water survey vessel
CAPEX in 2011 is expected to be RMB4.72 billion Over 90% of large-scale equipment are covered by service contracts in 2011
•
*Invested & constructed by CNOOC and operated & managed by COSL
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New Business, New Expansion Output enhancement met new requirements for extraction of heavy and thickened oil in China
waters, providing huge potential for COSL well services Respond to clients’ demand and apply certain oilfield technologies into new areas
Wide application of steam injection on location in oilfields Achieved revenues of more than RMB100 million a year Increasing use of injection techniques effectively enhanced output
Enhance reservoir recovery through acidification and related services Engage in acidification, pumping, water shutoff, CO2 expulsion operations Increasing application of integrated acidification and CO2 expulsion techniques
Low permeability oil reservoir exploration by fracturing techniques Technical innovation to apply land fracturing techniques in offshore exploration Fracturing and related operations to drive output enhancement businesses
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Deep-water Operations
z
Engage in deep-water exploration and research, and achieved progresses in
Liuhua29-1
deep-water seismic data collection, processing and identification of geological and reserve properties.
z
COSL’s deep-water operations in China
Liuhua34-2
come to live following deliveries of the ultra-deep-water semi-submersible Liwan3-1
platform HYSY981, deep-water exploration vessels and 2 utility vessels.
Source:: CNOOC
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Market Expansion Planning
Norway
China Gulf of Mexico
Vietnam Indonesia
Overseas operating regions
Australia
z
Maintain a leading position in offshore China
z
Proactively expand overseas business and accelerate international strategy planning and development pace
z
CNOOC’s international business development provides potential for COSL’s global expansion
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