Bio-Statistics. Discrete Random Variables and their Probability Distributions Examples

Bio-Statistics (SBE 304) Discrete Random Variables and their Probability Distributions Examples Dr. Ayman Eldeib Fall 2010 Bio-Statistics DRV - PMF...
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Bio-Statistics (SBE 304)

Discrete Random Variables and their Probability Distributions Examples Dr. Ayman Eldeib

Fall 2010

Bio-Statistics DRV - PMF

SBE 304

Experience has shown that 30% of all persons afflicted by a certain illness recover. A drug company has developed a new medication. Ten people with the illness were selected at random and received the medication; nine recovered shortly thereafter. Suppose that the medication was absolutely worthless. What is the probability that at least nine of ten receiving the medication will recover? Let X denote the number of people who recover If the medication is worthless, the probability that a single ill person will recover = 0.3 X is a binomial random variable Number of trials = n = 10 P(X ≥ 9) = p(9) + p(10) = 0.000144 Fall 2010

Bio-Statistics DRV - PMF

SBE 304

Suppose that the number of patients that enter a hospital in an hour is a Poisson random variable, and suppose that P(X= 0) = 0.03 Determine the mean and variance of X. P(X = 0) = e−λ = 0.03

Therefore, λ = −ln(0.03) = 3.51

Consequently, E(X) = V(X) = 3.51 Fall 2010

Bio-Statistics DRV - PMF

SBE 304

If the range of X is the set {0, 1, 2, 3, 4} and P(X = x) = 0.2 determine the expected value and variance of the random variable. Mean µ = E(X) = 0(0.2) + 1(0.2) + 2(0.2) + 3(0.2) + 4(0.2) = 2 V(X)

= E(X2) - µ2 = 0(0.2) +1(0.2) +4(0.2) +9(0.2) +16(0.2) – 4 = 2

Uniform? What if P(X = x) = 0.4? Is it possible in the above example? Fall 2010

Bio-Statistics DRV - PMF

SBE 304

Let the random variable X have a discrete uniform distribution on the integers 1 ≤ x ≤ 3. Determine the mean and variance of X. Mean E(X) = (3+1)/2 = 2 Mean E(X) = 1 (1/3) + 2 (1/3) + 3 (1/3) = 2 V(X) = 2/3

Fall 2010

Bio-Statistics DRV - PMF

SBE 304

The random variable X has a binomial distribution with n =10 and p = 0.5. Determine the following probabilities: P(X=5)

P(X≤2)

P(3 ≤ X 5) = 1− P(X ≤ 5) = 1−[P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4) + P(X = 5)] E(X) = 1/0.02 = 50 Fall 2010

Bio-Statistics DRV - PMF

SBE 304

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