Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Industrials & EU Autos Conference 2015 Richard H. Fearon – Vice Chairman and Chief Financial and Planning Officer March 17, 2015
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Forward Looking Statements and NonGAAP Financial Information The information provided today will include forward-looking statements relating to our goals and estimates for future years, including statements about acquisition synergies, capital expenditures, operating earnings per share, cash flow, segment margins, our worldwide markets, our anticipated effective income tax rate and others. These statements should be used with caution and are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside the company’s control. The following factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements: unanticipated changes in the markets for the company’s business segments; unanticipated downturns in business relationships with customers or their purchases from us; competitive pressures on sales and pricing; increases in the cost of material and other production costs, or unexpected costs that cannot be recouped in product pricing; the introduction of competing technologies; unexpected technical or marketing difficulties; unexpected claims, charges, litigation or dispute resolutions; the impact of acquisitions and divestitures; unanticipated difficulties integrating acquisitions or realizing expected synergies from the Cooper acquisition; new laws and governmental regulations; interest rate changes; changes in currency exchange rates; stock market fluctuations; and unanticipated deterioration of economic and financial conditions in the United States and around the world. We do not assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. This presentation includes certain non-GAAP measures as defined by SEC rules. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP equivalent is provided in the investor relations section of our website at www.eaton.com and is contained in your packet.
© 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Eaton – A Power Management Leader • Power management strategy is working • Leading Electrical franchise with a successful Cooper integration nearing completion • Industrial businesses are well positioned for growth • Strong margin, cash flow and attractive capital deployment alternatives strengthen prospects • Outlook
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Eaton is a premier power management company… We are uniquely positioned to provide reliable, efficient, safe and sustainable power management solutions for critical markets Cities & Buildings
Infrastructure
Energy & Utilities
Information Technology
Electrical
Industrial & Machinery
Fluid
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Transportation
Mechanical
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…consisting of leading global power management businesses 2014 Sales % of Sales
Electrical Sector $7.3B
Products
32% Providing comprehensive solutions from generation to the end user
Systems & Services
$6.5B
29%
Hydraulics
$3.0B
13%
Aerospace
$1.9B
8%
Serving global OEMs, airlines and governments
18%
Delivering solutions to the global commercial vehicle and passenger car markets
Industrial Sector
Vehicle
$4.0B $22.6B total
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Bringing a broad product portfolio to diverse global end markets
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We have aggressively executed our strategy Goals
Strategy
Actions Since 2000
• Invested $5.5 billion in research & development • Higher earnings growth
• Change the business mix
• Reduced volatility
• Upgrade the talent
• Maintain high return on capital
• Run the business better with EBS
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• Deployed $20 billion of capital to acquire 66 businesses, markedly changing the mix • Divested businesses with sales of over $1.5 billion
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Our strategy has resulted in a balanced business that serves diverse markets Electrical
61%
Segment
Early
Cycle
Aerospace
Vehicle
13%
8%
18%
Late
Mid
31%
No
29%
29%
Int’l Developed
USA
Country
Hydraulics
11%
Int’l Emerging
52% 25%
23%
End Market
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Over the last decade we have driven strong growth… Sales ($B)
Cash from Operations ($B) $3.0
$25
Operating EPS ($) $5.00
$2.5 $20
$2.0
Mix
$15
$4.00
$3.00 $1.5
$5
$2.00
Performance
$10
$1.0
$1.00 $0.5
$0
$0.0 2004
2014
$0.00 2004
2014
2004
2014
Note: Cash from Operations and Operating EPS exclude Q2 2014 litigation settlements and gain from Aerospace divestitures
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…and with the addition of Cooper, we have a less volatile earnings stream EBIT Margin Range
EBIT Growth Volatility
2004-2014
2004-2012
12%
0.4
8%
6%
Volatility of Earnings
10% 0.3
0.2
4%
2%
0.1
0% 0.0 Eaton Stand Alone
PF Eaton and Cooper
Among the most stable in our peer group Notes: Eaton Pro Forma includes Cooper results prior to the acquisition Volatility of earnings is standard deviation of YoY EBIT growth data from Capital IQ © 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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We have grown our dividend at a rapid rate… Dividends per Share $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $0.00 2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
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2011
2012
2013
2014
2015e
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…and continue to aggressively return cash to our shareholders Dividend Yield vs. Peers
Total Cash Returned to Shareholders in 2014 ($M)
2014 Share Repurchases ($M)
as of 3/6/2015
4%
$400
$2,000 $326
3%
$1,600
$300 $225
2%
$650
$1,579
Share Repurchases
Total
$1,200 $929
$200 $800
1%
$99 $100
$400
ABBN SIE EMR ETN SU ROK DOV LR UTX PH HON ITW IR DHR
0%
$0 $0
Dividends Q2:14
Q3:14
Q4:14
In 2014 we returned ~$1.6B to shareholders or 4.4% of our market cap at the beginning of the year
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Over the long-run, we have generated outstanding returns for our shareholders 2000 – Feb. 2015 CAGR* Return Index
Cumulative Shareholder Returns
700 13.8%
600 500
11.5%
400 300 5.4%
200 100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Eaton Note –
S&P 500
Feb 2015
Peer Group**
** Peer Group represents an equal weighted index of ABB, DHR, DOV, EMR, HON, IR, ITW, LR, PH, ROK, SIE, SU, UTX *CAGR = Calculated using the End Point Methodology Source Data: Capital IQ, Eaton analysis © 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Eaton – A Power Management Leader • Power management strategy is working • Leading Electrical franchise with a successful Cooper integration nearing completion • Industrial businesses are well positioned for growth • Strong margin, cash flow and attractive capital deployment alternatives strengthen prospects • Outlook
© 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Our Electrical businesses deliver solutions for the entire power system
Data Centers
Industrial
Utility
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Commercial / Resi
Machinery
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Our Electrical businesses are balanced both geographically and across key end markets Electrical End Market Mix 2014 Sales $13.7B
Electrical Geographic Mix 2014 Sales $13.7B
Resi 9%
Industrial 23%
Utility 12%
Non-U.S. 45% U.S. 55%
Data Center / IT 15%
Machine Builders 11%
Commercial & Institutional / Gov’t 30%
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The successful integration of Cooper continues to drive significant earnings growth 500
+$115M $475
Synergy profit ($M)
Integration Update 400 +$150M
$360
• The Cooper integration is nearing completion in 2015
300 200 100
• We are close to capturing all sales and cost-out synergies
+$95M $210 $115
0 2013
2014
2015
2016
• By January 2016, we will have fulfilled our commitment to pay down the acquisition debt
Profits from Revenue Synergies Cost Synergies © 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Cost synergies come from five main areas and are approaching mature levels EBS Plant & Distribution
Rationalization projects on-schedule
Application of EBS Tools
Implementation of tools proceeding per plan
Supply Chain Leveraging Eaton’s Economies of Scale Infrastructure
Leveraging common spend Consolidating indirect spend
Successful disposition of excess properties
Operating SG&A actions ahead of plan
Office consolidation projects complete
Corporate Cost Reduction
All actions completed IT and data center migrations ahead of schedule
Leveraging distribution footprint to reduce freight costs
60% complete
70% complete
70% complete
90% complete
100% complete
Note: percentages indicate cost synergies completed. Balance of work is underway and will be finished by year end. © 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Sales synergies come from four main areas
Boost Channel Sales
Larger Package to Common Customers
Service Business
Completed the rollout of a new distributor program to channel partners (EDAP)
Implemented integrated selling organizations on a global basis
Coupled service offers to all Industrial, Commercial and Utility quotations and projects
Launched new channel web portal tools (MyEaton)
Added resources to focus on global accounts and key EPC firms
Rolled out a service channel module to key distributors
75% of total 2016 sales synergies
Geographic Expansion Integrated selling, service, and channel activities in key regions
Enhanced and expanded Eaton Tech Days in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East
25% of total 2016 sales synergies
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Eaton – A Power Management Leader • Power management strategy is working • Leading Electrical franchise with a successful Cooper integration nearing completion • Industrial businesses are well positioned for growth • Strong margin, cash flow and attractive capital deployment alternatives strengthen prospects • Outlook
© 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Our Hydraulics business serves large and diverse end markets 2014 Sales of $3.0B
Market Mix
Business Mix Other
• 65% Mobile Equipment
Construction & Mining
• 35% Stationary Equipment • 50% Direct
Processing
• 50% Through Distribution Why We Like Hydraulics
Material Handling
Agriculture
Manufacturing
• Large $40B global and diverse market
Commercial Vehicles
Energy
• Broad product portfolio • Positioned to outgrow end markets Expected 2015 operating margin of 12.1% to 12.7% © 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Hydraulics is addressing short-term market conditions and is positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities Addressing Softer Markets
Investing in Key Technologies
Growing Aftermarket
•
Market mix: 70% stable, 30% cyclical
•
Launching industry leading technologies
•
$12B market opportunity; 3% CAGR
•
Key actions to improve profitability through cycles
•
Leveraging Eaton’s electrical and hydraulic expertise
•
One third of 2014 sales
•
$18B installed base of Eaton products
•
Business is both profitable and stable
•
Key actions
• • •
•
Investing to grow in stable end markets Improving product mix Reducing fixed costs and optimizing our global footprint 2014 and 2015 restructuring actions
Margins Through the Cycle 13-14%*
15-16%
Current point in the cycle
17%+
•
Targeting new solutions for machine OEM market • •
$4B market; 3% CAGR $720M market opportunity
• • •
Variable Speed Drive Solutions for MOEM
Localizing products Building service capabilities Adding channel partners
Mining in Australia On-site 24/7 service
*Excluding restructuring
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Our Aerospace business is balanced across market segments and diverse platforms 2014 Sales of $1.9B
Market Mix Other OE
Business Mix • 65% Commercial / 35% Military
Military Aftermarket
Commercial OEM
• 65% New Aircraft / 35% Aftermarket Commercial Aftermarket
Why We Like Aerospace • Steady market growth
Military OEM
• Long-cycle industry • Advantageous technology position
Expected 2015 operating margin of 15.1% to 15.7%
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Winning technologies and aftermarket focus will drive profitable growth on both legacy and new platforms Increasing Content on Next Generation Platforms 4x B767
Commercial Transport
B787
7x
•
Driving more than $3B in recent wins
•
Commercial Transport •
UH-60 CH-53K
F-18
Pure Power engine seals improve fuel efficiency and extend life cycle on 777X, a $620M opportunity
•
Military Rotorcraft
2x
•
8x
•
Optimized subsystems to improve engine buildup on A350-1000, a $425M opportunity
Regional Jets Hydraulic system advantages in quality and reliability on E2 jet, a $400M opportunity
Business Jets
•
$4B global market; 2.5% CAGR
•
Aggressive focus on: • •
Military Fighters
F-35
Growing Aftermarket
Launching New Technologies
•
Improving operational performance Dedicated Aftermarket organization Driving modifications and upgrades
Aftermarket Sales 7% CAGR
Falcon Falcon 5X 900
6x ERJ 170/190
Regional Jets E2
Prior platforms
New OE platforms
•
Military Tanker Closed loop system optimizes fuel flow on KC-46A, a $300M opportunity
2014
2018
$120M in outgrowth by 2018 *Photo provided by GE Aviation
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Our Vehicle Group provides targeted solutions for both commercial and passenger markets 2014 Sales of $4.0B
Market Mix Other Ag / Off Highway
Business Mix • Americas: 70%
Pickup and Delivery Passenger
• EMEA: 20%
Vocational
• APAC: 10% Why We Like Vehicle • Regulations create large opportunities for innovation
Line Haul
• Leader in fuel economy and emissions reduction • Positioned to outgrow end markets Expected 2015 operating margin of 17.0% to 17.6% © 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Vehicle Group is focused on four nearterm drivers of market outgrowth Automated Transmissions
Medium Duty Market
• NAFTA heavy-duty market converting to automation
2014 % Automation
Procision Dual Clutch Transmission
2018 % Manual
• Automation growth creates a large market opportunity with 40-50% higher price point than equivalent manual products
• • •
Launching new Medium-duty product Targeted toward Class 6 and 7 markets with improved fuel economy 2014 new business wins of $300M
Engine Technologies • • •
•
Leveraging Alliances
Solutions to help customers meet regulatory requirements Hollow Valves – 10% weight reduction and higher heat tolerance Variable Valve Actuation – improves engine efficiency by adjusting valves for power needs Cylinder Deactivation
• •
Strategic alliances expanding global scope and driving growth Cummins Alliance: SmartAdvantage™ •
• •
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3-6% better fuel economy
Shaanxi Fast Gear Co., Ltd. joint venture enhances clutch presence in China Nittan joint venture extends our valvetrain reach in Asia
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Eaton – A Power Management Leader • Power management strategy is working • Leading Electrical franchise with a successful Cooper integration nearing completion • Industrial businesses are well positioned for growth • Strong margin, cash flow and attractive capital deployment alternatives strengthen prospects • Outlook
© 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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We expect good margin improvement in 2015, consistent with our long-term trend Segment Operating Margin 20%
+60 bps to +120 bps YoY
18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e Note: Excludes acquisition integration charges © 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Our cash flow continues to grow rapidly and our cash earnings are strong Cash Earnings Comparison
($B)
Cash from Operations $3
$9
$2
$6
$1
$3
$0
$0
2011
2012
2013
2014*
2015E
2014 Operating EPS
Indicates 2015 guidance range
2015E EBITDA / Share
Notes: Operating EPS excludes Q2 2014 litigation settlements and gain from Aerospace divestitures EBITDA / Share excludes acquisition integration charges
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Beginning mid-2015, we expect to have increased cash optionality Significant Cash Generation in Near-Term
Capital Allocation Optionality
Repurchase shares
$4
($B)
…we repurchased $650M (2% of shares outstanding) in 2014
Mid-year 2015 cash optionality
Increase dividend …continue to grow dividends in line with earnings growth
Invest in acquisitions …Cooper expanded our addressable electrical market from ~$125B to ~$195B
$0 Free Cash Flow 2H 2015 through 2016
Dividend Payments
Debt Repayment
Capital optionality © 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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Eaton – A Power Management Leader • Power management strategy is working • Leading Electrical franchise with a successful Cooper integration nearing completion • Industrial businesses are well positioned for growth • Strong margin, cash flow and attractive capital deployment alternatives strengthen prospects • Outlook
© 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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For 2015, organic revenue growth is expected to be 3% - 4% 2015 Organic Revenue Growth
Segment Electrical
3% - 5%
Hydraulics
(2)% - 0%
Aerospace
2% - 4%
Vehicle
5% - 7%
Eaton Consolidated
3% - 4%
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2015 Outlook Organic Revenue Growth Forex Segment Margins Corporate pension, interest, and general corporate expenses Tax Rate Operating EPS
3% - 4% (4)%
Elec. Products
17.7% - 18.3%
15.9% - 16.5%
Elec. Systems and Services
14.5% - 15.1%
Hydraulics
12.1% - 12.7%
Aerospace
15.1% - 15.7%
Vehicle
17.0% - 17.6%
$30M - $40M above 2014 levels 9% - 11%
Full Year
$4.75 - $5.05
Q1
$0.95 - $1.05
Operating Cash Flow
$2.7B - $3.1B
Free Cash Flow
$2.0B - $2.4B
CAPEX
2015 Expected Segment Margins
$675M
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Summary Our power management strategy is effective • We are a global power management leader with strong positions in critical markets
Our balance provides stability • Across uneven market conditions, we have produced strong results
We will continue to drive strong earnings growth in a slow growth environment • Our technical vitality and front-end capabilities combined with Cooper synergies are producing results
We are positioned for greater cash redeployment optionality • Growing cash flow and improved cash flow margin provide us with attractive capital allocation alternatives
© 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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© 2015 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
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