Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2014 Energy Conference November 13, 2014
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS •
•
•
•
This presentation includes "forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements are statements other than statements of historical fact that give our current expectations or forecasts of future events. They include production forecasts, estimates of operating costs, assumptions regarding future natural gas and liquids prices, planned drilling activity, planned asset sales and related adjustments, reductions in leverage, estimates of future capital expenditures, estimates of recoverable resources, projected rates of return and expected efficiency gains, as well as projected cash flow, inventory levels and capital efficiency, business strategy and other plans and objectives for future operations. Further, pending divestiture transactions are subject to closing conditions and may not be completed in the time frame anticipated or at all. In particular, we caution you that our October 2014 purchase and sale agreement with Southwestern Energy Company, in which we agreed to sell certain assets in the Marcellus Shale and Utica Shale for approximately $5.375 billion, is subject to closing conditions, including third-party consents and waiver of participation rights. These closing conditions may not be completed in the time frame anticipated or at all. Although we believe the expectations and forecasts reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance they will prove to have been correct. They can be affected by inaccurate or changed assumptions or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results include those described under "Risk Factors” in Item 1A of our 2013 annual report on Form 10-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on February 27, 2014. These risk factors include the volatility of natural gas, oil and NGL prices; the limitations our level of indebtedness may have on our financial flexibility; declines in the prices of natural gas and oil potentially resulting in a write-down of our asset carrying values; the availability of capital on an economic basis, including through planned asset sales, to fund reserve replacement costs; our ability to replace reserves and sustain production; uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of natural gas, oil and NGL reserves and projecting future rates of production and the amount and timing of development expenditures; our ability to generate profits or achieve targeted results in drilling and well operations; leasehold terms expiring before production can be established; hedging activities resulting in lower prices realized on natural gas, oil and NGL sales; the need to secure hedging liabilities and the inability of hedging counterparties to satisfy their obligations; drilling and operating risks, including potential environmental liabilities; legislative and regulatory changes adversely affecting our industry and our business, including initiatives related to hydraulic fracturing, air emissions and endangered species; uncertainties regarding legal claims and governmental proceedings, including royalty claims, and the adequacy of our provision for legal contingencies; a deterioration in general economic, business or industry conditions having a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity and financial condition; oilfield services shortages, gathering system and transportation capacity constraints and various transportation interruptions that could adversely affect our revenues and cash flow; adverse developments and losses in connection with pending or future litigation and regulatory investigations; cyber attacks adversely impacting our operations; and an interruption at our headquarters that adversely affects our business. Disclosures concerning the estimated contribution of derivative contracts to our future results of operations are based upon market information as of a specific date. These market prices are subject to significant volatility. Our production forecasts are dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates of production decline rates from existing wells and the outcome of future drilling activity. References to “EUR” (estimated ultimate recovery) and “resources” include estimates of quantities of natural gas, oil and NGL we believe will ultimately be produced, but that are not yet classified as “proved reserves,” as defined in SEC regulations. Estimates of unproved resources are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved reserves and accordingly are subject to substantially greater risk of actually being realized by Chesapeake. We believe our estimates of unproved resources are reasonable, but our estimates have not been reviewed by independent engineers. Estimates of unproved resources may change significantly as development provides additional data, and actual quantities that are ultimately recovered may differ substantially from prior estimates. We caution you not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no obligation to update any of the information provided in this release, except as required by applicable law.
2 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
WHERE WE ARE TODAY
CORPORATE PROGRESSION
2013
2014
2015 +
TRANSFORMATION
FOUNDATION E&P LEADERSHIP
3 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
APPLYING OUR BUSINESS STRATEGIES
• Balance capital expenditures with cash flow from operations • Divest noncore assets and noncore affiliates
• Develop world-class inventory • Target top-quartile operating and financial metrics • Pursue continuous improvement
• Reduce financial and operational risk and complexity
• Drive value leakage out of operations
• Achieve investment grade metrics
4 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
3Q’14 OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL RESULTS
TOTAL ADJ. PROD.
11% YOY
(1)
726 mboe/d
ADJ. EARNINGS/FDS
(1) (2) (3)
LIQUIDS MIX to
29%
ADJ. OIL PROD.
5% Q/Q
of Total Production(2)
(1)
28% in 2Q’14
ADJ. EBITDA
12% YOY
7% YOY
$0.38(3)
$1.24 billion(3)
118.9 mbbls/d
CAPEX
8% YOY $1.35 billion
Adjusted for asset sales Oil and NGL collectively referred to as “liquids” Adjusted earnings per fully diluted share and adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to comparable GAAP financial measures appears on pages 27 – 28
5 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
CAPITAL DISCIPLINE (1)
$ in billions
$14.2
$7.6 ~$5.7
60%
36%
Decrease in Capital Investment
Increase in Operating Cash Flow
(2)
(1) Operating Cash Flow before changes in assets and liabilities (2) 2014 based on midpoint of company Outlook issued on 11/5/2014; capex includes capitalized interest, but excludes the exchange of properties with RKI Exploration and Production, LLC for ~$450 million in August 2014
6 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
mmboe
Inventory Count
GROWING PRODUCTION WHILE MANAGING INVENTORY
7 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
OPERATIONS UPDATE • Operating cash flow(1) for first nine months of 2014 of approximately $4.2 billion, compared to capital expenditures of $3.5 billion(2)
3Q’14 Daily Avg. Net Production (mboe/d)
• Adjusted production(3) for first nine months was 12% higher than year-ago levels (5)
• Achieved year-end estimated exit rate of 730 mboe/d in September, 2014 2014E % of E&P Capex by Play(2)(4)
2014E Avg. Operated Rig Count
• •
(1)
Drilling performance continues to improve with increased pad drilling Centralized production facilities provide efficiencies 2014 avg. completed lateral lengths of 6,300 feet and 20 frac stages 135 day spud to sales cycle time in 3Q‟14 Wells spent waiting on completion or waiting on pipeline connection markedly shrinking
Avg. peak production of 89 wells connected to pipeline in 3Q‟14 was 840 boe/d Added 2 frac crews in 4Q‟14 – up to 9 currently
3Q‟14 avg. rig count
12 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
UTICA ASSET OVERVIEW •
3Q‟14 avg. net production of ~86 mboe/d >
Up 27% sequentially
•
Averaged 7 operated rigs and connected 77 gross wells in 3Q‟14
•
Avg. completed well cost of ~$6.5 million(1) >
>1 million net acres 61% avg WI
Decreased 16% since 2012 amid increasing lateral lengths and frac stages CHK/TOT JV Outline CHK Operated Rigs CHK Leasehold Oil Window Wet Gas Window Dry Gas Window
Production mix
(1)
As measured from Jan-July
13 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
POWDER RIVER BASIN OIL GROWTH ENGINE •
388,000 net acres 79% avg WI
Closed transaction with RKI in August „14 – exchanged nonoperated northern acreage for RKI‟s southern acreage and $450 mm cash
•
3Q‟14 avg net production of ~14 mboe/d –
•
Up 26% sequentially
Averaged three operated rigs in 3Q‟14 and connected 17 gross wells
•
CHK Operated Rigs CHK Leasehold
Buckinghorse Plant (4Q'14) expected to add 120 mmcf/d processing capacity Production mix
•
Avg. completed well cost of ~$9.2
•
Multiple stacked formation tests in early 2015:
(1)
>
1 in Teapot
>
1 in Shannon
>
2 in Parkman
>
7 in Sussex
million(1)
As measured from Jan-July
14 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
HAYNESVILLE ASSET OVERVIEW •
3Q‟14 avg. net production of ~562 mmcfe/d >
•
Up 11% sequentially
Averaged 9 operated rigs and connected 14
387,000 net acres 71% avg WI
gross wells in 3Q‟14 •
Avg. completed well cost of ~$8.2 million(1) Hayneville EUR performance (mboe) CHK Operated Rigs CHK Leasehold
Production mix
(1)
As measured from Jan-July
15 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
HAYNESVILLE D&C IMPROVEMENT IMPACTS Haynesville Shale Well Cost Progress Report ($m) $4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
$8,500
August 2013 Actual Reducing chemicals (FR/Gel)
$9,000 $10,000
ROR (%) $4.00/MCF 20% 8550
8350
Toe Prep Efficency Jan 2014 Well Cost Target Remove Resin Coated Proppant
$8,100
>17% Capex Improvement in 17 wells from the previous 628
7950
$7.5 mm
7750
Achieved 2015 Cross Unit Target after 17 of 23 wells D&C‟d in 2014
Increasing cluster/stg 7550
Manufacturing Mode
60%
8150
Ops Procedures (24 Hrs) Design Efficiencies / Rentals
40%
Drilling Efficiencies 2014 Mid-Year Results Non-Intervention Completion 2015 Target
34%
7150
Improvement in ROR for Drilling a Cross unit Lateral
$7,000 6950
Cross Unit Lateral Cross Unit 2015 Target
7350
$7,200
$7,500 6750
16 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
REDUCING LEVERAGE ($mm) Term Loan
2012
2014E(1)(2)
$2,000
--
Long-Term Bonds
$10,666
$11,821
$418
--
$13,084
$11,821
VPPs
$3,187
$1,720
Operating & Finance Leases
$1,255
--
Subsidiary Preferred
$2,500
--
Corporate Preferred
$1,531
$1,531
$21,558
$15,061
Credit Facility
GAAP Debt
Total Adjusted Leverage
~$6.5B Reduction in Leverage During the Past 2 Years
(1) (2)
Assumes takeout of Cleveland-Tonkawa, sale of South and East Texas conventional assets (VPP 6) in 2H 2014 Excludes approximately $5.4 billion in potential proceeds from the proposed Southern Marcellus asset sale, subject to close in December 2014
17 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
~10%
~30%
EXECUTING OUR PLAN
(1) (2)
Production growth(1)
9 – 12%
Cash flow
$5,250 – $5,450 MM
Capital
$5,000 – $5,400 MM(2)
Cash costs
LOE, G&A and interest expense
Leverage
Reduce adjusted leverage by 30% YE 2014
Growth range based on 2013 production of 604mboe/day adjusted for asset sales in 2013 and 2014 Excludes capitalized interest and approximately $450 million of cash paid by the company in conjunction with the August 2014 exchange of properties with RKI Exploration and Production, LLC.
18 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
APPENDIX
19 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
TRANSFORMING OUR BUSINESS
• Organizational structure • Decision rights • Focus on capital efficiency • Cash cost reduction
• Portfolio management and capital allocation process • Corporate budget process and plan
• Performance measurement and compensation program
20 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
UPSIDE POTENTIAL
CHK
21 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
NORTHERN MARCELLUS ASSET OVERVIEW •
3Q‟14 avg. net production of ~882 mmcfe/d >
•
Up 1% sequentially
Averaged 3 operated rigs and connected 23
gross wells in 3Q‟14 •
Avg. completed well cost of ~$7.0 million(2)
230,000+ net acres(1) 39% avg WI
Production mix(2)
(1) (2)
Excludes acreage off main development fairway As measured from Jan-July
22 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
CHK Operated Rigs CHK Leasehold
MID-CONTINENT ASSET OVERVIEW •
3Q‟14 avg. net production of ~96 mboe/d
•
Averaged 18 operated rigs and connected 63 gross wells in 3Q‟14
•
249,000 net acres actively being developed in aggregate ˃ Mississippian Lime ˃
164,000 net acres
˃
44% avg WI, 36% avg NRI
Miss. Lime Granite Washes CHK Leasehold CHK Operated Rigs
˃ Granite Wash plays(1) ˃
85,000 net acres
˃
83% avg WI, 67% avg NRI
Production mix(2)
˃ ~1.9 mm net acres of legacy leasehold
•
~20% of 2014 estimated E&P capex
•
Avg. completed well cost of $3.1 million in the Mississippian Lime(3)
(1) (2) (3)
Granite Wash plays include Colony Granite Wash, TX Panhandle Granite Wash and Missourian Granite Wash 3Q‟14 daily avg. net production As measured from Jan-July
23 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
CURRENT HEDGE POSITION Natural Gas
Oil
72%
64%
42% Swaps
$4.50-$5.24/mcf NYMEX
$4.09/mcf NYMEX
$94.22/bbl NYMEX
26% Three-Way Collars
$4.11 - $4.37/mcf NYMEX
Natural Gas Hedges
Crude Oil Hedges
Q4 2014
Total 2015
Volume (bcf)
194
319
Price ($/mcf)
$4.12
$4.31
Volume (mmbls)
7,197
16,837
Price ($/bbl)
$94.22
$93.39
Note: Hedged positions as of 11/1/2014 based on production estimates provided in 11/5/2014 Outlook; 26% of 2014 gas production is hedged under collar arrangements with upside to average NYMEX price of $4.37/mcf and exposure below average NYMEX price of $3.49/mcf
24 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
UTICA DOWNSTREAM MARKETING ADVANTAGE •
Average transportation rates of $0.22 per mcf per day for balance of 2014
Dawn
and $0.24 per mcf per day for 2015
•
•
Gulf Coast Market Access >
440 MMcfd to the Gulf Coast for 2015
>
732 MMcfd to the Gulf Coast beginning in 2016
Utica
Upper Midwest/Canadian Market Access >
•
200 MMcfd of capacity to Dawn market in 2017
Local Market Access >
Gulf Coast
96 MMcfd to local markets
25 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
SENIOR NOTE PROFILE
Convertibles Other Senior Notes
Sr. Notes: $11.8 billion 9/30/2014 WACD – 5.0% Avg. Maturity: 5.2 years
$2,263
$1,800
$1,700
$1,500
$1,500 $1,100
$1,015
$396
$500
$0 2014
2015 2.75%(1)
(1) (2) (3)
2016 3.25%
2017 2.5%(1) 6.5% 6.25%(2)
2018 2.25%(1) 7.25%
2019 3mL+3.25%(3)
2020 6.875% 6.625%
2021
2022
2023
5.375% 6.125%
4.875%
5.75%
Recognizes earliest investor put option as maturity for the 2.75% 2035, 2.5% 2037 and 2.25% 2038 Contingent Convertible Senior Notes Euro-denominated notes with a principal amount based on the exchange rate of $1.2631 to €1.00 at 9/30/2014 All-in yield composed of 3.25% spread and 3mL
26 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE ($ in mm, except per share data)
Three Months Ended:
9/30/2014
9/30/2013
$169
$156
(384) (9) 9 (54) 62 11 447
118 39 55 (82) (2) (2) -
$251
$282
43 3
43 3
Total adjusted net income attributable to CHK
$297
$328
Weighted average fully diluted shares outstanding(3)
776
765
$0.38
$0.43
Net income available to common stockholders Adjustments, net of tax: Unrealized losses on derivatives Restructuring and other termination costs Impairments of fixed assets and other Net gains on sales of fixed assets Net gains on sales of investments Provision for legal contingencies Other Redemption of preferred shares of a subsidiary(1)
Adjusted net income available to common stockholders(2) Preferred stock dividends Earnings allocated to participating securities
Adjusted earnings per share assuming dilution(2) (1)
All adjustments to net income available to common stockholders reflected net of tax other than the redemption of preferred shares of a subsidiary.
(2)
Adjusted net income available to common stockholders and adjusted earnings per share assuming dilution exclude certain items that management believes affect the comparability of operating results. The company believes these adjusted financial measures are a useful adjunct to earnings calculated in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP) because: (i) Management uses adjusted net income available to common stockholders to evaluate the company's operational trends and performance relative to other natural gas and oil producing companies. (ii) Adjusted net income available to common stockholders is more comparable to earnings estimates provided by securities analysts. (iii) Items excluded generally are one-time items or items whose timing or amount cannot be reasonably estimated. Accordingly, any guidance provided by the company generally excludes information regarding these types of items. Management believes that ―adjusted net income attributable to common stockholders‖ represents a useful corollary to net income attributable to common stockholders because it provides useful information regarding our ongoing operations and is widely used by investors, analysts and rating agencies in the valuation, rating and investment recommendations of companies. In millions. Weighted average fully diluted shares outstanding include shares that were considered antidilutive for calculating earnings per share in accordance with GAAP
(3)
27 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EBITDA ($ in mm)
Three Months Ended: Cash provided by operating activities Changes in assets and liabilities
Operating cash flow Net income
(1)
Interest expense Income tax expense Depreciation and amortization of other assets Natural gas, oil and NGL depreciation, depletion and amortization
EBITDA(2) Adjustments: Unrealized losses on natural gas, oil and NGL derivatives Restructuring and other termination costs Impairments of fixed assets and other Net gains on sales of fixed assets Net gains on sales of investments Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests Provision for legal contingencies Other
Adjusted EBITDA(3)
9/30/2014
9/30/2013
$1,184
$1,381
109
31
$1,293 $692
$1,412 $240
17 437 37 688
40 147 79 652
$1,871
$1,158
(622) (14) 15 (86) -(30) 100 2
191 63 89 (132) (3) (38) -(3)
$1,236
$1,325
(1) Operating cash flow represents net cash provided by operating activities before changes in assets and liabilities. Operating cash flow is presented because management believes it is a useful adjunct to net cash provided by operating activities under GAAP. Operating cash flow is widely accepted as a financial indicator of a natural gas and oil company's ability to generate cash which is used to internally fund exploration and development activities and to service debt. This measure is widely used by investors and rating agencies in the valuation, comparison, rating and investment recommendations of companies within the natural gas and oil exploration and production industry. Operating cash flow is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to cash flows from operating, investing or financing activities as an indicator of cash flows, or as a measure of liquidity. (2) Ebitda represents net income (loss) before interest expense, income taxes, and depreciation, depletion and amortization expense. Ebitda is presented as a supplemental financial measurement in the evaluation of our business. We believe that it provides additional information regarding our ability to meet our future debt service, capital expenditures and working capital requirements. This measure is widely used by investors and rating agencies in the valuation, comparison, rating and investment recommendations of companies. Ebitda is also a financial measurement that, with certain negotiated adjustments, is reported to our lenders pursuant to our bank credit agreements and is used in the financial covenants in our bank credit agreements. Ebitda is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP. Accordingly, it should not be considered as a substitute for net income, income from operations or cash flow provided by operating activities prepared in accordance with GAAP. (3) Adjusted ebitda excludes certain items that management believes affect the comparability of operating results. The company believes these non-GAAP financial measures are a useful adjunct to net income because: (i) Management uses adjusted ebitda to evaluate the company's operational trends and performance relative to other natural gas and oil producing companies. (ii) Adjusted ebitda is more comparable to estimates provided by securities analysts. (iii) Items excluded generally are one-time items or items whose timing or amount cannot be reasonably estimated. Accordingly, any guidance provided by the company generally excludes information regarding these types of items.
28 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
CORPORATE INFORMATION CHESAPEAKE HEADQUARTERS 6100 N. Western Avenue Oklahoma City, OK 73118 WEBSITE: www.chk.com
CORPORATE CONTACTS BRAD SYLVESTER, CFA
Vice President — Investor Relations and Communications
DOMENIC J. DELL'OSSO, JR. Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Investor Relations department can be reached by phone at (405) 935-8870 or by email at
[email protected]
PUBLICLY TRADED SECURITIES
CUSIP
TICKER
3.25% Senior Notes due 2016
#165167CJ4
CHK16
6.25% Senior Notes due 2017
#027393390
N/A
6.50% Senior Notes due 2017
#165167BS5
CHK17
7.25% Senior Notes due 2018
#165167CC9
CHK18A
3mL + 3.25% Senior Notes due 2019
#165167CM7
CHK19
6.625% Senior Notes due 2020
#165167CF2
CHK20A
6.875% Senior Notes due 2020
#165167BU0
CHK20
6.125% Senior Notes Due 2021
#165167CG0
CHK21
5.375% Senior Notes Due 2021
#165167CK21
CHK21A
4.875% Senior Notes Due 2022
#165167CN5
CHK22
5.75% Senior Notes Due 2023
#165167CL9
CHK23
2.75% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2035
#165167BW6
CHK35
2.50% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2037
#165167BZ9/ #165167CA3
CHK37/ CHK37A
2.25% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2038
#165167CB1
CHK38
4.5% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock
#165167842 #165167834/ #165167826 #U16450204/ #165167776/ #165167768 #U16450113/ #165167784/ #165167750 #165167107
CHK PrD
5.0% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock (Series 2005B) 5.75% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock
5.75% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock (Series A) Chesapeake Common Stock
29 I BOAML ENERGY CONFERENCE 11/13/2014
N/A N/A
N/A CHK