BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A. 3Q 2009 consolidated financial results
-1-
Significant increase of net income in 2009 /mln zł/
285
300
250
92
300% 200
150
172% 100
193
54% 50
46
71
0 1Q 09
2Q 09
3Q 09
* One-off event according to current report as of 15 October 2009: refers to correction of tax settlements.
-2-
Impact of oneoff event*
Macroeconomic situation in 3Q 2009 Investments and private consumption as factors of slowdown
Positive trade balance
7.0
25.0
6.0
20.0
5.0
50 40 30 20 10
15.0
4.0
10.0
3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0
5.0
0
0.0
-10 -20
-5.0 2q05
4q05
2q06
4q06
2q07
Private Consumption YoY
4q07
2q08
4q08
-30 -40
2q09
Jan-08
Investment growth YoY
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Exsports r/r
Improvement in global market sentiment and strong fundamentals support the strengthening of the zloty
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Imports r/r
WIBOR3M still much higher than the Polish Central Bank reference rate
120
4.6 4.4
115
4.2 4.0
110
3.8 105
3.6 3.4
100
3.2 95
3.0 O/N
90 Jan-09
3/31/2009 Mar-09
May-09 EURPLN
EURRON
Jul-09
Sep-09
EURCZK
-3Źródło: Citi Handlowy, GUS, NBP
1W
2W 6/30/2009
1M
3M 9/30/2009
Reference rate
Increase of operating margin in the last three quarters /PLN MM/ 700 600
90%
350
300
56%
60% 50%
200
40%
626
593
625
30%
475 336
20%
374
market +13%
250
53%
400
352
331
7%
market +18%
70%
63%
300
= +7
80%
71%
500
200
= +10
/PLN mln/
sektor -3%
25%
59%
150
274
294
219
100
138
10% 50
100 0% 0
0
-10% 4Q 08
Income
1Q 09
2Q 09
Cost
4Q 08
3Q 09
C/I
1Q 09
2Q 09
3Q 09
Operating margin
Increase of operating margin excluding one-off event (positive impact of VAT return) due to stable income and decreasing costs
Operating margin = income - cost -4-
Net income 3Q2009 vs 3Q2008 /PLN MM/
350
300
8 0
250 41
115
69 33
36
200
12 150
100
285 216
50
0 NET INCOME 3Q2008
Interests
12%
Fees
Treasury
0%
Expenses
Net impairment
69 MM
tax
Vat correction
10%
Other
NET INCOME 3Q2009
33 MM
(3Q09/3Q08)
(3Q09/3Q08)
(3Q09/3Q08)
(3Q09/3Q08)
(3Q09/3Q08)
Net interest income
Fee & commision income
Treasury
Expenses and depreciation
Net impairment losses
market -4%
market +9%
-5-
market -4%
Net income 3Q2009 vs 2Q2009 /PLN MM/ 350
300
19
250
115 45
200 125 150
285
100 7
20
Interests
Fees
5
20
Treasury
Expenses
50
71 0 NET INCOME 2Q2009
2%
15%
Net impairment
5 MM
tax
Vat correction
6%
Other
NET INCOME 3Q2009
125 MM
(3Q09/2Q09)
(3Q09/2Q09)
(3Q09/2Q09)
(3Q09/2Q09)
(3Q09/2Q09)
Net interest income
Fee & commision income
Treasury
Expenses and depreciation
Net impairment losses
market +13%
market -5%
market +3% -6-
FX Options’ impact on Bank’s income in 3Q2009 FX Options impact
/PLN MM/ 1Q 08
2Q 08
3Q 08
(2)
(3)
(2)
4Q 08
1Q 09
2Q 09
3Q 09
0
(10) (59)
-50
-100
(162)
-150
-200
(259)
-250
3Q 2009
-300
/PLN MM/
FX Options (PLN 10 MM)
400
7*
350
3
300
250
200
365
355
150
100
50
0 Profit before tax 3Q2009 excl. FX Options
Treasury
Net impairment losses
-7*Including FX Options hedging
Profit before tax 3Q2009
High quality of capital Strong capital base
Capital structure of the biggest banks in Poland**
(CAR)
16%
15,2% 13,2%*
14%
Citi Handlowy
13,5%
Bank 1
12,1% Bank 2 12%
Bank 3 10%
Bank 4
9,8% 8%
9,2%
9,2%
Bank 5 Bank 6
6% 4Q '08
1Q '09
2Q '09
3Q '09
Bank 7
Citi Handlow y
0%
Average for 7 biggest banks excl. Citi Handlow y (Tier 1 only, excl. subordinated debt) * incl. 2008 net income for data comparability; reported value amounted to 11.2%
2%
4%
6%
8% 10% 12% 14% 16%
CAR (Tier 1 only, excl. subordinated debt) ** for Citi Handlowy data as of 3Q 2009, for other banks data as of 2Q 2009
Source: Citi Handlowy, banks financial statements, own calculations
-8-
CAR
A high net interest margin Net interest income and net interest margin
73%
48%
(3Q09/3Q08)
(3Q09/3Q08)
Debt securities portfolio income
Deposits cost – non-financial sector
/PLN MM/
Net interest result Net interest margin Net interest margin (market)
450 400
3,8% 3,6%
350
3,4%
300
3,2%
250
3,0%
200
2,8%
150
2,6% 3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
Net interest margin = sum of net interest results from 4 quarters to average assets from 4 quarters
-9-
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Successive QoQ improvement of fee & commission result Net fee & commission income
↑82%
↑21%
- brokerage
(3Q09/3Q08)
- credit cards
↑11%
- transaction services
(3Q09/3Q08)
(3Q09/2Q09)
/PLN MM/ 250
Increase of net fee & commission income in 3Q 2009
DMBH’s share in volume of trade in shares on WSE 3Q09 (%) Dom Maklerski Banku Handlowego
200 150
4%
14
15%
DM BZ WBK
58
100
11
50
7
10 ING Securities
0 3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Others (38 brokerage houses)
- 10 -
DI BRE
Stable customer activity result Treasury 3Q 2008
I/D (PLN MM)
3Q 2009
(69.0)
95.3
164.3
Proprietary management
Customer activity
Proprietary management result
Customer activity result FXO 9 mln*
FXO (7 mln)* FXO (259 mln) FXO (105 mln) 3Q 07
4Q 07
1Q 08
2Q 08
3Q 08
4Q 08
1Q 09
2Q 09
3Q09
3Q 07
4Q 07
*Including FX Options hedging Scale on charts is incomparable
- 11 -
1Q 08
2Q 08
3Q 08
4Q 08
1Q 09
2Q 09
3Q09
Risk stabilisation in 3Q2009 Net impairment losses* 3Q 2008
3Q 2009
I/D (mln zł)
(22.6)
(52.8)
(30.2)
/PLN MM/
Net impairment losses Corporate Banking Retail Banking Total
Net impairment losses*
40 20 0 (20) (40) (60) (80) (100) (120)
3Q08 (4,0) (18,6) (22,6)
3Q09 (1,5) (51,2) (52,8)
Retail banking: Higher risk of credit cards and consumer loans portfolios
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
Coverage ratio as of 3Q 2009
3Q09
Corporate banking: Stabilisation of corporate portfolios – effect of restructuring activities and risk mitigation
70% 10 biggest banks 58%**
*excl. FX Options ** data as of 2Q09
- 12 -
Improvement of loan portfolio quality Nonbanking loans and advances - at risk of impairment to total loans 18%
Nonbanking loans and advances - at risk of impairment to total loans 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
15.6%
16% 14%
11.5%
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2Q 2009
3Q 2009*
Individual clients
18.4%
Corporate clients 14.3%
7.7%
8.2%
2Q 2009
3Q 2009
Past due corporate loans structure (3Q 2009)
49%
Citi Handlowy
banking sector
8%
43%
72%
9%
Sale of non-performing loans portfolio Intensifying colection activities
19%
Prudent credit policy 0%
20% below 1 year
40%
60% 1-3 years
80%
100%
above 3 years
* excl. derivatives; taking derivatives into account, the ratio amounts to 12.9% - 13 -
Expenses under control
market -4% /PLN MM/
400
367
Cost / Income
(10%) Corporate Banking Retail Banking Total
331
350
3Q08 48% 65% 56%
3Q09 44% 65% 53%
300 250
196
(10%) Retail banking: Optimisation of branch network, technology and infrastructure and lower marketing expenses
177
200 150 100
(10%) 171
Corporate banking: Lower external services and transaction costs
154
50 0 3Q2008 Corporate Banking
3Q2009 Retail Banking
- 14 -
Loans Non-financial sector loans /PLN MMM/
Corporate loans
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Gross loans non-financial sector Currency structure
Retail loans
/PLN MMM/
6 5 4
10%
9%
3
90%
16% 12%
2 84% 88%
1 0
30.06.09
30.09.09
30.06.09
PLN
30.09.09
FX Market
32%
Changes
3Q2009/2Q2009
Market 3Q2009/2Q2009
(4%)
(1%)
68%
Changes* *excl. mortgage
Corporate loans: including public sector and local government institutions - 15 -
3Q2009/2Q2009
Market 3Q2009/2Q2009
1%
2%
Deposits Non-financial sector deposits Corporate deposits /mld zł/ 14
Deposits non-banking sector Currency structure
Retail deposits /mld zł/ 6
12 10
21%
22%
17% 79% 78%
8
4
83%
6
2
4 2 0
0
30.06.09
30.09.09
30.06.09
PLN Current
30.09.09
FX
Term
Current
Changes
3Q2009/2Q2009
Market 3Q2009/2Q2009
Current
3%
(2%)
Term
(19%)
5%
Total
(13%)
2%
Market 9% 91%
Stable level of average balances Corporate deposits including public sector and local government institutions - 16 -
Term
Changes
3Q2009/2Q2009
Market 3Q2009/2Q2009
Current
21%
3%
Term
(3%)
(2%)
Total
12%
0%
Leading partner for public sector 2009
2009
TRANSACTION OF THE YEAR PZU SA
DMBH
3 000 000 000 PLN
1 700 000 000 PLN
One of the biggest reverse repo transaction in the last 20 years
89% of MT’s minorities value concluded on WSE
2009
Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 600 000 000 PLN Roads bonds issue
Sale on order of Ministry of Treasury „minority interest” Pekao SA for PLN 1.1 billion.
2009
Miasto stołeczne Warszawa 4 000 000 000 PLN Bonds issue programme
Municipal bonds issue
Organiser Bank Handlowy w Warszawie SA
Organiser, Custodian, Payment Agent, Dealer
- 17 -
What will happen in the end of 2009? Summary
• Permanent trend of
improvement in the market situation
• Citi Handlowy – well positioned Bank for taking advantage in the market situation’s improvement • High level of the first class capital • High liquidity • Quick reaction on quality of the loan portfolio’s deterioration
- 18 -