AVIVA France, Italy, Spain Paris seminar, November 2002 Tony Wyand Group Executive Director
Disclaimer This presentation may contain certain “forward“forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Aviva’s plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance and results. results. By their nature, all forwardforward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond Aviva’s control including among other things, UK domestic and global economic economic and business conditions, market related risks such as fluctuations fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, the policies and actions of regulatory regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, inflation, deflation, the the timing impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or combinations within within relevant industries, as well as the impact of tax and other legislation legislation and other regulations in the jurisdictions in which Aviva and its affiliates operate. As a result, Aviva’s actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals and expectations expectations set forth in Aviva’s forward forward--looking statements. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward looking statements statements contained in this presentation or any other forward looking statements statements we may make. 2
Seminar programme 14.00 Introduction & overview 14.20 France Overview General Insurance Investment Mgmt Life business
Tony Wyand Bernard Pottier Etienne Silhol Bernard Pottier Bruno Rostain
15.20 Break 15.30 Italy
Cesare Brugola
16.10 Spain
Gerardo Arostegui
16.50 Summary & close
Tony Wyand
17.00 Reception
3
Aviva has Europe’s strongest life platform g Aviva
is the largest provider of life & pensions to Europe
g …..with
substantial market positions in continental Europe
Spain
New business sales (APE) Europe (ex UK) 9 months 2002
Rank: 5th
Italy
The Netherlands Rank: 4th
14%
17% 6%
16%
Rank: 6th
13% 25%
France Rank: 10th
9%
Poland Rank: 2nd
Ireland Rank: 4th
Other
4
Growth cocktail = High state pensions and ageing populations State pension for average worker as % of final salary (i)
Worker to pensioner ratios (ii) 2000
2040e
Spain
2.7
1.4
Italy
2.4
1.1
France
2.7
1.5
2.5
1.2
2.6
1.5
Germany UK
0
25
50
75
100%
Undeliverable state pensions Sources : (i) Goldman Sachs : (ii) CES ifo: (ages 20-59 / over 60s)
5
Attractive trading environment g Lower
regulatory environment than UK
g Sustainable g Single
margins
country platforms required
g Emergence
of equity-linked culture stalled………..
Market equity exposure 2001
42% UK
19%
18%
France
Spain
14%
Equities - Direct ownership - Mutual funds - Life & pensions
Italy 6
Source: Deutsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, Banca d’Italia, ONS, Banco de España, Goldman Sachs estimates.
Aviva aligns distribution to country models
Multidistribution
Direct sales
Bancassurance 7
Distribution key to capturing growth
Aviva’s investment in bancassurance is achieving substantial and profitable growth g Track
record important (understand banking culture / incentives / pricing)
g “Warm”
client bases totaling 14m customers across France, Italy and Spain
g Deals
priced to meet target returns
g Efficiency
is the key to bancassurance margins
8
Aviva is Europe’s bancassurer *
19 UK Building Societies
* Effective from 2004
9
Opportunities in Eastern Europe “Asia on our doorstep” g Expect g Large g
above western EU GDP growth
populations
Aviva’s current exposure 140m
g Life
penetrations under 1%
g Pension g
reforms underway
Aviva captured 30% of Polish pensions market 10
Eastern Europe - EU accession brings economic benefits Poland Poland •• 1992 1992 £5m £5m greenfield greenfield investment investment •• In In 2001: 2001: •N private pensions pensions (30%of (30%of market) market) •Noo 11 private •20% •20%of of total total life life market market •40% of individual •40% of individual life life •Over •Over 2m 2m customers customers
Turkey Turkey
•• Life Life launch launch 1996 1996 •• 13% 13%market market share, share, No. No. 33
Czech Czech Republic Republic •• Launched Launched 1997 1997
Romania Romania
•• Launched Launched 2000, 2000, top top 55
Hungary Hungary
•• Acquisition Acquisition of of Top-6 Top-6 life life assurer assurer 2001 2001
Lithuania Lithuania
•• Launched Launched 2001 2001 •• 9% market 9% market share share 11
Profitable development in continental Europe g 47%
£m
of group’s life profit
(34% in 1997)
Life achieved operating profit*
13% pa CAGR
800
400
0
1997
1998
*Operating profit before tax and exceptional items
1999
2000
2001
12
Profitable development of life businesses in continental Europe Annualised H1 2002 return* 16.8% 13.4% 11.8%
France
Italy
*Life achieved operating profit post tax / opening embedded value
Spain
13
French, Italian and Spanish life businesses are within a flexible capital structure Aviva plc
CGUII plc Life
NU Insurance
Australia
UK Life
General
Major overseas subsidiaries
France Capital
Dividends
Italy Spain
14
High quality capital position g
Financing organic growth g
France
-
self-financing including funding for Crédit du Nord and Médéric deals
g
Italy
-
self-financing for organic growth
g
Spain
-
requires small capital funding over next 3 years reflecting early development stage
g
High quality assets
g
Matched positions on guarantees
15
France, Italy, Spain g Outstanding
growth opportunities
g Pre-eminent
distribution skills
g Strong
local management
16
Appendix
18
Continental European key developments g
Substantial investment in future growth
g
Exited subscale or volatile businesses
Bancassurance 2000: Bancaja, Spain 2001: Unicaja, Spain Caixa Galicia, Spain
Disposals 2000: German GI 2001: Belgium GI 2002: Portugal GI CGU Courtage
Caja Espana, Spain
Royal St George Banque
Nagelmackers, Netherlands
Plus Ultra
2002: Caja Granada, Spain BPCI, Italy Mederic joint venture, France 2004: Credit du Nord,France
19
Aviva France Paris Seminar November 2002
Bernard Pottier Chief Executive
France: historical perspective 1885 Commercial Union Northern in France (b ranch) in France
1985 Commercial Union French company (non life)
L EPARGNE DE FRANCE
1856 Abeille
1902 La Paix
1976 Abeille and La Paix merge to form Groupe Victoire
1984 Acquisition of l’Epargne de France (life and savings)
GA
1879 1901 Lion Fire Norwich Union Insurance Co in France in France
1902 amalgamated into the Yorkshire Insurance Co. 1967 becomes part of GA
1991 Creation of Eurofil
1994 Commercial Union acquires Groupe Victoire 1998 CGU France
2000 CGU France merges with Norwich Union France
2002 renamed
Aviva
1
1994 - 2005: Key milestones g
1994: A major step, the acquisition of Groupe Victoire g an old established French company g profit minded, high quality management g where we developed financial, planning and reporting discipline
g
1998: Merger with General Accident France
g
2000: Merger with Norwich Union France
g
2001: Sale of CGU Courtage (€ 301m before fees and other charges) Sale of Royal St Georges Banque (€ 27m before fees and other charges)
g
2002 - 2004: Partnership with Crédit du Nord
g
2005: Move from the centre of Paris to Bois-Colombes
2
France: one of the Group’s “Big Engines”, with solid results France is, on average, the second largest contributor to total Group premium income and to profit (after the UK)
Big engines: Aviva has established, profitable long-term savings businesses in the UK, France, Ireland and the Netherlands and rapidly built successful businesses in Italy and Spain
UK GAAP Results (in € m) * 1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
H1 02
1995 - 2002 Total
68
138
268
215
240
318
502
225
1,974
Result on Life Modified 103 Statutory Operating basis
160
212
232
226
221
392
163
1,709
Result including LAOP
* Excluding GA pre-1998 and Norwich Union pre-2000; cost of 1999 storms in France excluded from 1999 results (€ 58m) & 2000 results (€ 148m) At year-end published rates of exchange
3
French premium income NWP by type of business excluding CGU Courtage (first half-year figures 2002: € 2 215m)
AFER 42%
Life 76%
General Insurance 20% Health 4%
NonAFER 34%
4
2001: A large spread of distribution channels, focus on Life and non volatile GI business - breakdown of net premium income by distribution channel
Life AFER: € 1 827m Epargne Actuelle 33%
Life Non AFER: € 1 754m
Other dedicated intermediaries 15% Others 6%
AFER Brokers 28%
Agents 18%
UFF 21%
NUD 3%
Sales force
28%
Agents 9%
59% controlled
Independant Brokers 34% Ex NUF : 26%
Captive Brokers 6%
Ex AV: 8%
General Insurance: € 912m (excluding CGU Courtage) Others 1%
Agents 93%
Direct Marketing 6%
99% controlled
5
Multidistribution strength (1): the market Life
Direct & Others 6% Sales force 17% Brokers 9%
General Insurance
Banks 60%
Agents 8%
French market
Source : Fédération Française des Sociétés d’Assurances
Banks 8% Direct & Others 5% Mutuelles Agents 34% 35%
Brokers 18%
French market
6
Multidistribution strength (2): our answers Life
General Insurance
Norwich Union Direct Médéric Abeille vie & UFF
Abeille vie & Norwich Union France
Direct & Others 6% Sales force 17% Brokers 9%
Banks 60%
Eurofil
Crédit du Nord
Sogessur, Bred, Crédit du Nord
Banks 8% Direct & Others 5% Mutuelles Agents 34% 35%
Agents 8%
Abeille assurances
Brokers 18%
Abeille assurances CGU Courtage
French market
French market
Widest distribution of any French insurer (except those channels we have decided to exit)
7
Multidistribution: companies specialising by market 2001GWP: € 5.1 bn
Group staff number: 2 756 (excluding sales force and agents)
Martin Bride Finance Director
Aviva France (ex CGU France)
Bruno Rostain Life
Aviva Vie
Etienne Silhol General Insurance
Aviva Direct
Marcel Nicolaï Asset Management
Aviva Gestion d’Actifs
Aviva Assurances
(ex Victoire Asset Management)
(ex Abeille vie) (ex Norwich Union Direct) (ex Abeille assurances) 2001 GWP (in €m) 3 517 Staff number 628
180 106
915 918
g
ProCapital (40%)
56 359
55
g
Médéric Epargne (51%) - 2003
g
Antarius (50%) - 2004
B-to-B financial service provider
76% stake Bank / sales force
g
Sogessur (35%) GI Bancassurance
Bancassurance
8
Aviva France
General Insurance Paris Seminar November 2002
Etienne Silhol Chief Executive
g
Key value factors of our operation
g
Management tools and actions
g
Drivers for the future
1
Distribution, not just risk carrier 1.2 million clients
Eurofil € 56 m Aviva agents Life € 434 m Abeille General Insurance € 618 m
Aviva Assurances tied agents: 900 points of sales, strong local franchise g
Health € 192 m
Premiums through Aviva assurances and Eurofil, 2001
g
Eurofil: n° 2 in the direct market
2
Tied agents network: a strong network GI business Aviva share of agent channel
5,8%
6,2%
6,0%
5,6%
2,3% 2,4%
6,1%
6,0%
5,6%
2,3%
2,2%
6,7%
gaining share of agent channel
g
maintaining share of overall GI market
2,5%
2,3%
2,2%
g
2,3%
Av iva share of total
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 3 Sourc e : FFSA
Tied agents network: a strong network Life distributed through agents 8,2%
Aviva share of agent channel
6,5% 5,5%
4,6%
g
5,1%
5,0%
4,8%
4,5%
2,0% 1,6%
2,1%
1995
Sourc e : FFSA
1996
1,4% 1,6%
1,6%
1994
regaining share of overall life market, banks excluded g
Aviva share of total, banks excluded 1,7%
gaining share of agent channel
1,3%
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
4
Tied agents network: key features g
Personal and small commercial lines
g
From n° 5 in 1998 to n° 3 network for Aviva life in 2001
g
Regional not big cities
g
Franchise is good local care at decent price
g
Agent typically has 1 or 2 employees
g
Also paying small claims
g
N° 4 in agricultural risks
g
N° 4 in individual health top-up
5
Tied agents network: stable relationship, high persistency rates g
Exclusive agents: - commission-based income, however Aviva owns client base - agent only gives an Aviva quote
g
Local relationship brings high persistency
Household only
84
Motor only
85
Health only
% of clients still insured at one year anniversary related to product(s) purchase
85
Household + Motor
94
Household + Motor + Health 75
98 6 80
85
90
95
100
Tied agents network: strong growth of life distribution Number of active agents
Aviva’s third largest channel for life sales 420 365
256
3
1000
Volume (€m) 3
800
227 305 398
Rank 600
3
255
270
239
196
very active 272 236
400
not active
5 200
moderately active
456
515 372
297
0 1998
1999
2000
2001
1998
1999
2000
2001
7
Platform for bancassurance, direct and standard claims
g
g
Bancassurance partnerships 160 000 clients Focus on selling the second contract ²
1.39
1.43
1.30
1999
2000
2001
Contracts per client
g
Claims platform for Aviva Assurances (TSA) ²
70% use of preferred garage 8
g Key
value factors of our operation
g Management
g Drivers
tools and actions
for the future
9
Management tools: Accident Year 99 COR target 102%
101
104
105
103
107
103
Excl. stor ms
119 +5.7% +4.5% +3.3% +2.7%
Portfolio exposure Net Written premium
+1.8%
Net COR (inverted scale)
+1.2% +0.5%
+0.2%
-0.1% -0.6%
-2.2%
-1.9% -2.7%
-4.2%
1995
1996
Aviva assurances
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
10
Management tools: network segmentation g
Heartland position and Agency value index based on results, quality and growth in profitable lines
g
Agency’s position on the grid determines our actions
A
B
Results C
D
44
59 Reorganisation, sales animation and training
49
11
Internal growth, delegation
173
88
Underwriting quality, Profit-sharing
41
19
Focus on underwriting and admin. quality
18
25 D
187 76
72
Region 9, Reorganisation
45
C
21
3 B
Development
A
11
Management tools: agents rating control
g
Quotation and sales exclusively based on our rate : competitors rate does not interfere
g
Underwriting delegated to agents strictly automated by IT
g
For Motor, underwriting agent quality audits retroact on their price 12
Market dynamics confirmed Overall market premium growth + 5%
+ 3%
+5%
+6%+6%+6%
+6% +4%
+3%
+2%
+ 1%
-0% -1%
-1%
"Having re-emerged from several years of stagnation, the French P&C industry has not only enjoyed a growth in premiums in 2000 and 2001 but is also expected to experience further growth in the next cycle" Jean-Luc Lepreux, SVP at Moody's September 2002
-3%
-5% 19 92 19 93 1 994 1 99 5 1 99 6 199 7 199 8 19 99 20 00 20 01
13
Source FFSA
Market dynamics confirmed Overall market growth of motor premium per vehicle
Change in Motor liability claims frequency 3%
+2,5%
+5% 2%
+3%
+1%
1%
+5% +5% +4% +2%
-1%
+2%
+1% +2% -3% -3%
-1%
0% -0,5%
-1% -1,6%
-2%
-3% -3%
-3,0%
-3,1%
1995
1996
-5%
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
-3,0%
-3,0%
2000
2001
-4%
1997
1998
1999
14
Source FFSA
Market dynamics confirmed Overall market growth of household premium
Overall market growth of commercial lines premium +11% +9%
+8% +7%
+6% +5%
+4%
+6% +6%
+2% +4%
+3%
+5% +5%
+3% +4% +1% +1% +1%
0
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
+10%
+4%
+10%
+7% +5% +5%
+7% +4%
+1%
-2% -2%
-1%
-4% -3% -5% 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 15
Source FFSA
Aviva Rate increases Achieved in 2002
Perspectives for 2003
g
Motor private: +3% (5% decrease of frequency)
+ (April)
g
Personal fire: +5%
+ (April)
g
Health: +3.5% (January)
+5.6%
+3% (September)
g
Commercial lines: +6% to +10% (7% average)
From +6% to +30% (double digit average)
16
Focus on delivering results General insurance combined operating ratio (%)
103
104
100 AXA: 106.0 AGF: 106.6
H1 2001
2001
(1) H1 2002 excludes CGU courtage
H1 2002 (1)
17
g Key
value factors of our operation
g Management
g Drivers
tools and actions
for the future
18
Drivers for the future Development extends out of cities
Source : Insee 1999
Housing development areas Active rural areas Traditional rural areas
19
Drivers for the future Our agents network is well positioned for out-of-city development
Source : Insee 1999
Aviva agents network
20
Drivers for the future Our agents network is a key growth engine for Life and Health 62% of agents Now : 66% of agents sell Health
sell ASR (individual pensions product launched in May)
1998 : 33% of agents sell Health 50%
55%
57%
62%
33%
9%
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
May
June
July
August
Sept
Oct
21
Drivers for the future « Multidetention path »: increase cross selling g
g
HELIOS business model:
- Commercial efficiency Number of contracts for new clients after 6 months
Growth of prototypes compared to the rest of the network 20% 14% 11%
1.58 7%
Helios Agents Rest of network
GI new Health new business business
1.33
- Claims efficiency: use of Carglass TSA platform: 90% + Agents: 24% Currently
Test
22
Drivers for the future Turning our agent network into a competitive advantage g
2002: 60 agents hired / 700 candidates
New agents perform better g
106.8% 94.2%
55.9%
46.7%
34.3% 16.3% GI business
Life business
New Agents
Health Rest of network
4-year progression of new agents appointed in 1997 compared to the rest of network
23
In summary Agents are a key channel for Life, Health and profitable GI g
Group platform for partnership, direct and agents claims g
g
Strong management tools and rating controls
Further improvement expected from rating momentum, claims and network efficiencies g
24
Appendix
25
General insurance product mix hail and construction 9% commercial lines 16%
personal motor 31%
commercial motor 9%
health 22%
personal fire 13%
Breakdown of Aviva GI GWP 2001
26
Aviva France Aviva Gestion d’Actifs Paris Seminar November 2002
Bernard Pottier Chief Executive
Aviva Gestion d’Actifs g
Aviva France’s in-house asset management arm
g
€ 46.7 bn under management at 30 June 2002
g
N° 3 amongst insurance Groups for UCITs funds under management
g
A pro-active low cost organisation: administration costs around 2.6 bp
g
2001 Pre-tax profit: € 18 m 1
Aviva Gestion d’Actifs: 2001 portfolio Portfolio by customer Others 6%
Bond risk analysis
UFF GI 3% 1%
Life Non- AFER 22%
Rating >= A 31%
Life AFER 68%
Private
Govt. & public sector bonds 59%
Rating BBB 4% Below BBB 1% Semi-public & other state-related 5%
Breakdown of UK GAAP consolidated French life assets at 30 June 2002 Total: £ 27.9bn Property 1.9%
Assets c overing linked liabilities 19.9% Equities 0.9%
Backing Technical funds £ 26.6bn (95.3%) Fixed interest & other 63.0%
Equities 10.5%
Fixed interest & other 3.8%
Backing Shareholders’ funds £ 1.3bn (4.7%)
2
Aviva Gestion d’Actifs performance: a considerable competitive advantage for life sales End October 2002
Year to date
1 year
3 years
Number of funds
35
35
34
Top quartile
49%
57%
65%
1st and 2nd quartiles
71%
80%
94%
1st, 2nd and 3rd quartiles
91%
94%
97%
3
Aviva Gestion d’Actifs: an award winning asset manager 2002
Product
Product range Mieux Vivre Votre Argent
Best insurance asset manager Investir
Le Revenu
Award for unit trusts over 5 years
N° 1, international bonds (10 years) Victoire Oblig International
Le Revenu
La Trib une / Standard & Poor's
La Trib une / Standard & Poor’s
Best asset manager over 3 years
N° 1, international bonds (3 years)
Best performance over 3 years Best performance over 1 year
Victoire Oblig International
2001
L ’Agéfi
N° 1, international bond Victoire Oblig International
2001
La Trib une
N° 1, international bonds over 10 years Victoire Oblig International La Vie Financière
N° 1, fund management over 3 years Victoire Oblig International , Victoire Convertibles
Mieux Vivre Votre Argent
Best insurance asset manager La Trib une Best Performance over 1 year
4
Aviva France Life operation Paris Seminar November 2002
Bruno Rostain Chief Executive
Agenda z
Growth dynamics of French life market
z
Aviva vie’s position in market
z
Lines of business strategy
z
Control of distribution
z
New opportunities
z
Margin and cost management
z
Summary
1
French Life Insurance Market Opportunities z
A stable, favourable legal and tax environment
z
Positive demographics
z
Pressure to reduce social charges
z
A government prepared to reform pensions
Life insurance already the predominant vehicle for households’ savings z
2
French Life Insurance Market
Sustained growth in the market CAGR : 9% € bn
80 60 40 20 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Life and savings turnover – ordinary business Source : Fédération Française des Sociétés d’Assurance
3
French Life Insurance Market
Distribution channel stabilising 100%
Other
90% 80% 70%
Branch networks of financial organisations
60% 50% 40% 30%
Tied sales forces
20%
Brokers General agents
10% 0% 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Life and savings turnover – ordinary business Source : Fédération Française des Sociétés d’Assurance
2000 2001
4
French market products overview I
MAIN CATEGORIES : Savings and pensions plans for individuals, self employed and small firms Protection plans for individuals (term insurance, funeral plans …) I
SAVINGS AND PENSION PLANS : Unit linked products Premiums : voluntary or programmed contributions Tax framework : capital gains tax free after 8 years, capital gains when changing unit also tax free, reduced inheritance tax. Large range of funds : G mutual funds (unit linked funds) G «French» with profit fund with guaranteed bonuses (no « terminal bonus » and guaranteed surrender values, no « market adjustment factor »). These guarantees are matched by assets mainly invested in long term bonds. 5
French Life Insurance Market
A market in which unit-linked funds have established their position € bn
40
Unit-linked fund turnover
CAC 40
CAC
10000
30
7500
20
5000
10
2500
0
0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Life and savings turnover – 2002: 12 months rolling at 9/2002 Sources : Euronext and Fédération Française des Sociétés d’Assurance
6
Aviva Life operation
A Top Ten player in the French life market 4th traditional insurer CNP Crédit Agricole Axa BNP - Paribas Crédit Mutuel Generali AGF Société Générale Crédit Lyonnais
4% AVIVA
Traditional insurers
Groupama GAN La Mondiale
Bancassurance
Banque Populaire
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
2001 Life and savings turnover
Source : Fédération Française des Sociétés d’Assurance
16%
18%
20%
Market share 7
Aviva Life operation
Leading market positions N°1 in savings association business with Afer N°1 in direct sales of individual protection insurance with Aviva Direct (ex Norwich Union Direct) Ranked 4th by turnover in the French life and savings market in 2001 (excluding banks’ subsidiaries) Ranked 3rd by reserves in the French life and savings market in 2001 (excluding banks’ subsidiaries) Aviva Gestion d’Actifs (ex Victoire Asset Management) best performing fund manager over 1 and 3 years (La Tribune-Standard & Poor’s) 8
Aviva Life operation
Base 100 in 1998
Growth faster than the market +52% Aviva APE (*)
150
+43% Aviva +30% Market 125
+22% Traditional Networks
100
1998
1999
2000
2001
(*) APE: Annual Premium Equivalent = new business i.e. regular premiums + single premiums / 10
Life premium income - 2002 : 12 months rolling 3Q2002 Source : Fédération Française des Sociétés d’Assurance
2002 9
Aviva Life operation
Focused on the most profitable segments of the market z Individual savings and protection (93% of total premium income) z Unit linked products z Distribution through controlled networks (including long term partnerships) offering the medium term prospect of stable new business margins 40%
Gross Margin of New Business
30%
20%
10%
0% 1999
2000
2001
1H2002
10
Aviva Life operation
Focused on the most profitable segments of the market … Share of unit linked funds within new business (i.e. 1% solvency margin versus 4% )
80% 70% 60%
Non-Afer
50% 40% 30% 20%
Market
10%
Afer
0% 1999
2000
2002 : 3Q2002 - 12 months rolling
Source : Fédération Française des Sociétés d’Assurance
2001
2002 11
Aviva Life operation
… while maintaining the ability to stabilise production in a market currently unfavourable towards unit-linked funds Cumulative APE in € m
Afer including SFER
200
160
150
120
100
80
50
40
0
0
3m
6m
9m
Non-Afer
Cumulative APE in € m
12m
2001
6m
3m
2002
Change in accumulated savings-pensions APE since January
9m
12m 12
Aviva Life operation controls 59% of its distribution Other captive brokers
Aviva Life operation
Aviva vie Direct sales forces
51% 76%
UFF: a network of financial advisors
Aviva Assurances
Médéric Epargne
50%
from 2003 100%
Aviva Direct Direct Sales
tied agents
Capital link with % of ownership • Aviva own distribution channels • future JVs
Antarius
Epargne Actuelle:
bank distribution
a captive broker dedicated to AFER
from 2004
Independent brokers
13
AFER: number 1 savings association Scale competitive advantage z 560 000 members reserves of € 26.2 bn at end 2001 € 1.8 bn premium income 2001 z Very strong brand: 29 awards attributed by the financial press to the product and to asset management performed by Aviva Gestion d’Actifs (presently VAM) z Low loadings and low administration cost (0.1% of mathematical reserves vs market average of 0.33%) z Choice of three investment funds: bond fund (industry reference in the French market) and 2 unit-linked funds
€ bn 30
Growth in funds invested since the creation of AFER (key profit driver)
24 18 12 6 0 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001
z Customer loyalty: 42% of new members introduced through customers 98% of members are satisfied with AFER a 2001 lapse ratio of 2.2% excluding death and 3.3% including death
14
AFER : a dedicated and highly efficient organisation Aviva Gestion d’Actifs Asset management
SEV
Aviva Vie Co-Insurer
75%
Gie AFER
AFER Association
Co-Insurer
• Administrative management • Development and networks other than Aviva ‘s • Staff of 110 managing 650 000 policies
560 000 members 15
Aviva Life operation
Two examples of controlled and profitable distribution Epargne Actuelle Union Financière de France
16
Epargne Actuelle A highly efficient and profitable Afer distributor • 184 000 customers • 32 agencies, 67 sales staff, 17 administrative staff • € 8.75bn of reserves • 34% of Afer premium income (40% of unit linked) Key features strong direct marketing knowledge generating referrals for face-to-face selling highly efficient : premium income of almost € 7m per employee 17
Union Financière de France a medium-sized operator which is growing in strength iHighly professional sales network offering investment advice iAn accumulator of assets invested mainly in equity oriented products and real estate iEmphasis on training, corporate culture and very high loyalty of salesmen (more than 93% in 2001 for fully trained people) Number of customers
Key figures at 31/12/2001 150 000
142 750 customers (+12% in 2 years) Average life savings retention rate 95.6% Gross savings collected: € 748m of which 40% in life insurance Over 700 fully trained sales advisers 170 trainees working 33 branch offices Assets managed: € 5.5bn
125 000
100 000 1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Sept. 2002
18
Aviva vie Non AFER
Marketing tools and administration capacities ready for growth Aviva vie has reorganised its direct sales forces by: z sharply reducing the number of networks z developing modern tools to support sales persons: Training, PCs, sales software, Ready-to-use marketing operations on the existing portfolio and towards prospects z giving customer service tools including platform to deal directly with direct sales forces’ clients requirements Our IT systems and customer service ability now provide opportunities to develop profitable partnerships and further reduce costs
19
Costs reduction Impact of CGU - NU merger a 10% staff reduction
Administration costs as % of reserves (non-Afer savings)
Staff number 1180 1160 1162 1140
1137
1125
1120 1100
1137 1115
1119
0,60%
1111
0,55%
1132 1099
1080
Merger savings
0,49%
1060 1040
1055
1020 1000 Q4 1999
0,44%
1052 1033
Q3 2000
Q4 2000
Q1 2001
Q2 2001
Q3 2001
1047 Q4 2001
1998
1999
2000
2001
A further decrease in unit costs is expected as fixed costs will be spread over more activities through new partnerships ...
0,43%
2002
20
Crédit du Nord partnership
A long-term partnership will be put into place in 2004
Crédit du Nord
Aviva France 50%
50%
Antarius
Exclusive distribution agreement Administration management and fund management of euro funds
Key Figures 2001 A strong customer base: 1.3 million clients for the Crédit du Nord Group Written premiums: € 547m of which 58% was unit-linked fund business Reserves at 31/12/2001: € 2 542m Based on 2001 figures, Antarius represents 50% of new non-Afer business 21
Médéric partnership Use of Médéric customer data base
Médéric a group protection know -how
Aviva vie a saving know-how
Administration management
Transfer of Group protection portfolio 80%
49%
From 2Q2003
Asset management 51%
20%
Joint Venture Médéric Epargne Life company
Médéric Epargne Développement Distribution company
Médéric is one of the leading Provident Institutions with 2.7 million customers and 1 million beneficiaries
22
Life operation results : resilience in turbulent financial markets in €m Annual Premium Equivalent (APE) Gross New Business Margin
2000
2001
1H01
1H02
363
375
195
176
28,4% 33,9%
274
3Q02 268
28,8% 31,0%
Gross Life Achieved Operating Profit
334
366
177
179
UK Statutory Result (MSSB)
234
258
121
115
0,0
0,0
0,0
0,0
UK Unrealised Capital Gains (UCG)
829
470
723
315
Solvency ratio excl. French UCG *
1,14
1,19
1,22
1,21
Solvency ratio incl. French UCG *
2,69
2,55
2,66
2,25
Provision pour Risque d'Exigibilité
3Q01
* average ratio for the life operation UK unrealised capital gains do not include UCG on bonds French unrealised capital gains include UCG on bonds
23
In a competitive market, Aviva Life operation has the potential to increase value Focus remains on profit through g
individual business versus group business
g
unit-linked funds versus guaranteed rate products
g
controlled distribution
g
cost reduction programs
g
rationalise information systems after mergers Excellent growth platform
g
a solid customer base
g
Aviva Gestion d’Actifs’ excellent track record as a fund manager Development will come from
g
existing distribution with capacity to grow
g
cross sell to GI customers
g
new distribution partnerships 24
Aviva France Paris Seminar November 2002
Bernard Pottier Chief Executive