ASEAN ECONOMIC COOPERATION MINISTRY OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INDUSTRY
HOTEL TRADERS PENANG| 28 JUNE 2012
CONTENTS OF THE PRESENTATION The presentation will cover 3 main areas: Malaysia in the Global Economic Environment ASEAN as a Global Hub
AEC and its Implications to Malaysia
MALAYSIA IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 25 LARGEST EXPORTER (2011)
TOP 30 EXPORTER AND IMPORTER OF COMMERCIAL SERVICES
27 LARGEST IMPORTER (2011)
LEADING TRADING NATION
FOREIGN TRADE POLICY Committed to progressive liberalisation of the Malaysian economy and strong supporter of multilateral trading system (WTO) China, Japan, Korea, India and New Zealand Chile, Pakistan, India, New Zealand, Australia EU, Transpacific Partnership Agreement (TPP), GCC and possibly with Korea and Bangladesh
External Dimension
NATIONAL TRANSFORMATION Government Transformation Programme (GTP)
Economic Transformation Programme (ETP)
Effective Delivery Of Government Services
New Economic Model – A High Income, Inclusive & Sustainable Nation
January 2010
March 2010
Political Transformation Repeal/Amendment Internal Security Act (ISA) Printing Press Publication Act (PPPA) Emergency Ordinance September 2011
ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY (AEC) 2015 & DYNAMIC ASIA FTAs AND TRADING ARRANGEMENTS
MALAYSIA’S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT JOURNEY
2011
Technology Intensive Export-Oriented & LabourIntensive
1990s 1980s 1970s
1960s Import Substitutio n
Innovation , ETP & High Income
Resource-Based & Heavy Industries
2000 Economic Corridors & Services
ASEAN AS A GLOBAL HUB
ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY (AEC) 2015
ASEAN CHARTER (ADOPTED DECEMBER 2008)
Shift from a consensus-basedapproach to rules-based organisation. Structured organisation to meet the emerging challenges to ensure ASEAN’s relevancy in the global environment.
Builds the concept of “ownership” by the people of ASEAN.
ASEAN AS A GLOBAL PLAYER ASEAN
CHINA
INDIA
Population (million)
592
1,341
1,190
Land Area (million km2)
4.5
9.6
3.3
GDP (US$ billion)
1,859
5,980
1,600
GDP Per Capita (US$)
3,124
3,163
1,369
Exports (US$ billion)
1,074
1,510
245
Imports (US$ billion)
968
1,440
350
Exports as % of GDP
57.8
25.2
15.4
Imports as % of GDP
52.1
24.1
21.9
GDP Growth (%)
7.5
10.3
8.5
Source: ASEAN Secretariat (2010 Figures)
ASEAN’S EXTERNAL TRADE COUNTR Y Brunei Cambodi a Indonesi a Lao PDR Malaysia
Myanmar Philippin es Singapor e
EXPORT 2008
2009
IMPORT 2010
2008
2009
TOTAL TRADE 2010
2008
2009
2010
CHANG E 20082010 (%)
7.8
5.9
8.3
1.3
1.1
1.2
9.1
7.0
9.5
4.4
4.0
4.3
4.8
2.8
2.4
3.2
6.9
6.7
8.0
15.9
109.8
91.9
124.4
88.2
69.1
88.5
198.0
161.0
212.9
7.5
0.1
0.24
1.3
0.3
0.2
0.6
0.41
0.5
1.9
144.1
116.5
148.7 109.6
91.6
120.3
253.7
208.1
269.0
6.0
2.8
3.1
3.9
2.1
1.8
2.2
4.8
4.9
6.1
27.1
42.0
32.5
39.9
42.3
34.0
42.0
84.3
66.5
81.9
(2.8)
363.4
229.7
188.2 259.9 245.0
186.7 249.4
474.7
374.9
509.3
7.3
Thailand
135.5
120.0
107.0
283.2
227.0
294.1
3.8
Viet Nam TOTAL
51.8 727.6
103.8 130.3 1,160.4 1,523.0
16.4 6.7
151.0
147.7
48.1 61.8 60.1 55.7 610.74 804.0 699.4 549.6
NOTE: ALL FIGURES ARE IN US$ BILLION
143.1
68.5 111.9 719.0 1,427.0
ASEAN’S INTERNAL TRADE EXPORT
IMPORT
TOTAL TRADE
COUNTRY
2008 Brunei Cambodi a Indonesi a Lao PDR
2009
2010
2008
2009
2010
2008
2009
2010
CHANG E 20082010 (%)
2.5
1.1
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.2
3.7
2.4
2.4
35.1
0.3
0.6
0.7
1.6
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.1
2.4
26.3
27.2
24.6
33.3
41.0
27.7
47.1
68.2
52.3
80.4
17.9
0.7
1.0
3.6
1.49
1.48
1.42
2.2
2.5
5.02
128.8
Malaysia
50.4
40.4
50.6
34.7
31.7
45.0
85.1
72.1
95.6
12.3
Myanmar Philippin es Singapor e
3.9
3.2
3.7
1.7
2.1
2.0
5.6
5.3
5.7
1.8
7.1
5.8
11.6
14.3
11.6
16.3
21.4
17.4
27.9
30.4
108.5
81.6
111.3
74.8
59.0
78.7
183.3
140.6
190.0
3.7
Thailand
39.5
32.5
44.3
29.9
26.8
39.3
69.4
59.3
83.6
20.5
Viet Nam TOTAL
10.0 250.1
8.6 10.3 19.5 13.6 16.3 199.4 270.3 220.2 176.8 249.0
29.5 470.3
22.2 26.6 376.2 519.62
(9.8) 10.5
NOTE: ALL FIGURES ARE IN US$ BILLION
FDI FLOWS TO ASEAN BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN SOURCE Japan USA Canada EU China India Korea Australia New Zealand ASEAN Others TOTAL
2006 10,715.3 3,112.2 -646.4 8,744.5 1,071.8 -284.6 1,304.0 295.1 -254.3 7,946.9 17,511.7 50,343.7
2007 9,540.2 5,077.4 -166.9 14,055.1 1,097.0 681.6 2,757.8 989.5 44.6 9,502.2 17,967.6 62,299.7
NOTE: ALL FIGURES ARE IN US$ MILLION
2008 4,657.8 5132.6 799.4 9520.1 2109.5 698.6 1583.5 919.7 (165.1) 10,461.5 13,694.1 49,411.7
2009 5,308.4 3,357.7 310.9 7,297.2 1,509.5 983.6 1,421.8 700.9 239.9 4,428.9 13,898.8 39,457.6
CUMULATIVE (2006–2009) 30,217.7 16,679.9 297.0 39,616.9 5,787.8 2079.2 7,067.1 2,905.2 -134.9 28,354.3 63,072.2 215,742.4
FDI INFLOWS INTO ASEAN HOST COUNTRY Brunei Darussalam Cambodia Indonesia Lao PDR Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Viet Nam ASEAN Total
2007
2008
2009
2010
CUMMULATIVE (2007-2010)
260
239
370
629
1,498
815 539 9,318 4,877 228 319 7,248 1,381 976 579 1,544 1,963 8,589 15,279 8,539 4,976 9,579 7,600 47,076 37,881
783 13,304 333 9,156 N/A 1,713 35,520 6,320 8,000 75,758
867 6,928 324 8,538 715 2,916 37,033 11,330 6,739 75,650
NOTE: ALL FIGURES ARE IN US$ MILLION
3,004 34,427 1,214 26,323 2,270 8,136 96,421 31,165 31,918 236,365
ASEAN POPULATION & DIALOGUE PARTNERS
ASEAN IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 2010 (GDP) China $5,750b
ROK $986.2b
Japan $5,068b
India $1,430b
ASEAN $1,859b
Australia and New Zealand $1,354. b
ASEAN GLOBAL CONNECTIVITY
Source : ASEAN Secretariat
17
ASEAN COMMUNITY 2015
MAIN COMPONENTS OF AEC Single Equitable Market and Economic Production Developmen Base t 4 Main Pillars : Integration Competitive into the Economic Global Region Economy
MAIN ELEMENTS OF AEC ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY
Strategic Schedule SINGLE MARKET AND PRODUCTION BASE
COMPETITIVE ECONOMIC REGION
EQUITABLE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
INTEGRATION INTO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
SME development
Coherent Approach towards External Economic Relations
Free flow of goods Competition policy
Free flow of services
Free flow of investment
Consumer Protection
Initiative for ASEAN Integration (IAI)
Intellectual Property Rights
Freer flow of capital
Infrastructure development
Free flow of skilled labor Taxation
Priority Integration Sectors e-Commerce
Food, Agriculture and Forestry
Human Resource Development
Research and Development
Enhanced participation in global supply networks
AEC KEY PRIORITIES Enhancing physical & non-physical connectivity – Aviation, maritime & land transport Integration of the services sector Enhancing trade facilitation – operationalization of the ASEAN Single Window
Elimination of non-tariff barriers Promoting inclusive and sustainable growth – SME development Enhancing regional economic partnership with dialogue partners – ASEAN+FTAs
AEC initiatives are on track and member states are committed towards achieving AEC in 2015
FREE FLOW OF GOODS
ASEAN-6 : 0% Tariff (2010) CLMV
: 0-5% Tariff (2015)
FREE FLOW OF SERVICES
Signed in 1995
- to enhance and strengthen cooperation among service suppliers in ASEAN; and
- progressively liberalise trade in services among ASEAN countries through reduction / elimination of restrictions.
EQUITY TARGETS AND PARAMETERS PRIORITY SECTORS
Value US$ Million
End date for Liberalisation Foreign (ASEAN) equity participation
e-ASEAN (ICT), Tourism, Healthcare
Logistics
NON-PRIORITY SECTORS
2010
2013
2015
- 49% by 2006 - 49% by 2008 - 51% by 2008 - 51% by 2010 - 70% by 2010 - 70% by 2013 -
30% by 2006 49% by 2008 51% by 2010 70% by 2015
* construction: not less than 51% by 2006
MRAs MRA
DOWNLOAD
SIGNING DATE & VENUE
Engineering Services
http://www.asean.or g/18009.htm
9 December 2005, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Nursing Services
http://www.asean.or g/19210.htm
8 December 2006, Cebu, Philippines
Architectural Services
http://www.asean.or g/21137.pdf
Framework Agreement for http://www.asean.or the Mutual Recognition of g/21137.pdf Surveying Qualifications
19 November 2007, Singapore
MRAs MRA
DOWNLOAD
MRA Framework on Accountancy Services
http://www.asean.o rg/22225.htm
Medical Practitioners
http://www.asean.o rg/22231.htm
Dental Practitioners
http://www.asean.o rg/22228.htm
SIGNING DATE & VENUE
26 February 2009 Cha-am, Thailand
ASEAN COMPREHENSIVE INVESTMENT AGREEMENT Main objectives: (ACIA) to create a free and open investment regime to achieve economic integration A more comprehensive Agreement: Covering 4 pillars i.e. liberalisation, protection, facilitation and promotion Inclusion of additional provisions Improvement of existing provisions A total of 49 Articles, 2 Annexes, and 1 Schedule (reservation list of Member States)
HIGHLY COMPETITIVE ECONOMIC REGION ASEAN to enhance cooperation in new areas: competition policy; consumer protection; intellectual property rights; infrastructure development; and taxation and e-commerce.
ASEAN CONNECTIVITY APSC
ASEAN Community AEC
ASCC
Enhance rules and Enhance integration Enhance the wellgood governance for and competitiveness being and livelihood ASEAN of ASEAN of ASEAN peoples Narrowing the Development Gaps People-toPeople Connectivity Physical Connectivity
Resource Mobilisation ASEAN Connectivity
Institutional Connectivity
ASEAN CONNECTIVITY
KEY STRATEGIES FOR ENHANCED ASEAN CONNECTIVITY KEY STRATEGIES TO ENHANCE PHYSICAL CONNECTIVITY Strategy 1
Complete the ASEAN Highway Network
Strategy 2
Complete the implementation of the Singapore Kunming Rail Link (SKRL) project
Strategy 3
Establish an efficient and integrated inland waterways network
Strategy 4
Accomplish an integrated, efficient and competitive maritime transport system
Strategy 5
Establish integrated and seamless multimodal transport systems to make ASEAN the transport hub in the East Asia region
Strategy 6
Accelerate the development of ICT infrastructure and services in each of the ASEAN Member States
Strategy 7
Prioritise the processes to resolve institutional issues in ASEAN energy infrastructure projects
KEY STRATEGIES FOR ENHANCED ASEAN CONNECTIVITY KEY STRATEGIES TO ENHANCE PEOPLE-TO-PEOPLE CONNECTIVITY
Strategy 1
Promote deeper intra-ASEAN social and cultural understanding
Strategy 2
Encourage greater intra-ASEAN people mobility
KEY STRATEGIES FOR ENHANCED ASEAN CONNECTIVITY KEY STRATEGIES TO ENHANCE INSTITUTIONAL CONNECTIVITY STRATEGY 1
Fully operationalise the three Framework Agreements on transport facilitation
STRATEGY 2
Implement initiatives to facilitate inter-state passenger land transportation
STRATEGY 3
Develop the ASEAN Single Aviation Market (ASAM)
STRATEGY 4
Develop an ASEAN Single Shipping Market
STRATEGY 5
Accelerate the free flow of goods within ASEAN region by eliminating barriers to merchandise trade within the region
STRATEGY 6
Accelerate the development of an efficient and competitive logistics sector, in particular transport, telecommunications and other connectivity-related services in the region
STRATEGY 7
Substantially improve trade facilitation in the region
STRATEGY 8
Enhance border management capabilities
STRATEGY 9
Accelerate further opening up of ASEAN Member States to investments from within and beyond the region under fair investment rules
STRATEGY 10
Strengthen institutional capacity in lagging areas in the region and improve regional-sub-regional coordination of policies, programmes and projects
RESOURCE MOBILISATION Traditional Funding Sources:
Multilateral Development Banks
(MDBs)
Bilateral development partners
Regional/global funds and facilities
Technical assistance from ASEAN Dialogue
Partners and other external parties
National Government Budgets
RESOURCE MOBILISATION
New and Innovative Sources: Private individuals and businesses ASEAN Infrastructure Fund (AIF) financed by ASEAN Member States and ADB
Private-Public Partnerships (PPPs)
Regional & Domestic Capital Markets
CROSS FLOWS OF INVESTMENTS IN ASEAN Direct Investment by Malaysia in ASEAN
YEAR 2011 : 2010 : 2009 :
INVESTMENTS RM25,775 MILLION RM24,754 MILLION RM16,058 MILLION
Source: Bank Negara Malaysia
CROSS FLOWS OF INVESTMENTS IN ASEAN Direct Investment by ASEAN Countries in Malaysia
YEA R 2011 : 2010 : 2009 :
INVESTMENTS RM21,680 MILLION RM15,675 MILLION RM15,756 MILLION
Source: Bank Negara Malaysia
OPPORTUNITIES TO MALAYSIAN BUSINESS COMMUNITY
A Single Integrated Market offering increase business opportunities for trade in goods, services and investment, through: removal of import tariffs and non-tariff barriers for trade in goods; liberalisation of the services sector covering all 4 modes of supply and removal of market access limitations creating a liberal investment regime
Serve as a production base for regional and international market
OPPORTUNITIES TO MALAYSIAN BUSINESS COMMUNITY
Enhance competitiveness and efficiency by expanding domestic production facilities for the larger markets:
OPPORTUNITIES TO MALAYSIAN BUSINESS COMMUNITY Undertake outsourcing activities and specialisation of production
Relocate and rationalisation of business operations Enhance Malaysian service providers competitiveness and capacity Employment and business opportunities for Malaysian service providers
OUTREACH PROGRAMMES Seminars/Briefings/Workshops. Establishment of FTA Service Units in MATRADE, MIDA and SMIDEC MITI Website provides Malaysia’s FTAs
latest
updates
on
Conduct Surveys to ascertain level of awareness amongst stakeholders of FTAs and their benefits derived.
CONCLUSION Economic Dynamism
AEC
Sustained Prosperity Inclusive Growth
Integrated Development of ASEAN
THANK YOU
ASEAN ECONOMIC COOPERATION MITI Fax
:
03 - 6201 9799
E-mail
:
[email protected]
l MINISTRY OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INDUSTRY, MALAYSIA l ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
l