AGM Presentation December 2010
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Overview Altona Energy Plc (ANR.LN) is an AIM listed Australian based energy company Primary asset is a 49% interest in the Arckaringa Project, which has an estimated 7.8 bt coal resource in the Arckaringa Basin of South Australia (1.287 bt JORC) considered to be one of the world’s largest untapped energy banks Defined work programme to develop Arckaringa with recognised value trigger points Currently conducting a Bankable Feasibility Study (‘BFS’) with JV partner Chinese energy major CNOOC-NEI (finance rating equivalent to Chinese sovereign rating), which is funding the work amounting to A$40m Base case: Open cut mine up to 15 Mtpa capacity to support integrated coal to liquid (‘CTL’) and co-generation power plant (10 mbl and 560MW), however multiple project potential through CNOOC-NEI Highly experienced management team and partner framework to crystallise project potential 3
Key Data
Market Ticker Share price (08 Dec) Shares in issue Market cap Nom Advisor/Broker
AIM ANR 11.25p 417.325m £46.44m Evolution
Tongjiang International Energy Co. Limited 18.50% Invesco Asset Management 17.70% Directors 1.80% Other 62%
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The Team Christopher Lambert Chairman
Over a period of 17 years, Mr Lambert was head of London Precious Metals Trading for Elders Finance Group, The Rural and Industries Bank of Western Australia, Barclays Bank and Prudential Securities (USA.). He left the city in 1997 to act as a consultant to a number of mining houses.
Christopher Schrape Managing Director
Mr Schrape has more than 30 years of experience in the resource and mining industries, including 20 years at Rio Tinto. He was also previously CEO of Griffin Coal.
Peter Fagiano Executive Director
Mr Fagiano is a chartered chemical engineer with over 40 years of experience in energy and hydrocarbon process industries world-wide and is currently Director of Operations at Jacobs Engineering UK Ltd Process and Technology Division.
Anthony Samaha Exec Finance Director
Mr Samaha has over 16 years of experience in providing accounting and corporate advice in a diverse range of industry sectors, including resource development.
Phillip Sutherland Non-executive Director
Mr Sutherland was previously CEO and Chief Industry Advocate for the South Australian Chamber of Mines and Energy. He has extensive executive management experience with Australian local, state and federal government agencies.
Zheng Qiang Non-executive Director
Mr Qiang previously held senior management positions at AMR Technologies Inc and has served as Deputy General Manager of the China Rare Earth Development Corporation, a commercial arm of the State Council Rare Earth Leading Group.
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A World Scale Energy Bank 7.8 billion tonne of which 1.287 billion tonnes is JORC-compliant at Wintinna CNOOC JV opens up CTL and export potential (CNOOC and BG Group signed a 20-year
Transportation Fuel (Mbl)
Gas (Bcf)
8,720
114,800
419
5,341
Wintinna Total (nonJORC)
1,268
12,865
Arckaringa Total (non-JORC)
2,535
32,370
Feedstock
gas sales contract for more than 3.6 million tons of liquefied natural gas from a facility in Australia) North Sea Proven Reserves 2 Deposit
Million Tonnes
Wintinna JORC
Measured1
Indicated1
Inferred1
Total
Wintinna
1,150
750
2,000
3,900
Westfield
100
200
500
800
Murloocoppie
250
300
2,600
3,150 7,850
Million Tonnes (JORC) Wintinna
187
650
450
1,287
Assuming 50:50 ratio of Coal converted to Liquid Fuels and SNG, the Arckaringa coal resources are respectively 28% and 29% of North Sea proven reserves [2] ‘BP North Sea Production Statistics for UK / Norwegian Sector (published June 2009), combined oil and gas proven reserves’
[1] Not current JORC standard, based on SA Dept. of Minerals & Energy standards of the day
Source: Jacobs Engineering Process & Technology, Nov 2009
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A World Scale Energy Bank (cont..)
Wintinna coal asset can sustain 30,800 barrels per day of diesel and 0.39 bcf/d of SNG for 40 years At Q4 2010 diesel price, the value of the Wintinna JORC coal asset is estimated at US$100 billion The Wintinna JORC coal asset and its conversion to SNG production both comply with P90 categorisation
Potential Value Of Production (US$) (Assuming $120/barrel for Diesel)
Wintinna JORC
$100bn
Wintinna Total (non-JORC)
$304bn
Arckaringa Total (non-JORC)
$608bn
Source: Jacobs Engineering Process & Technology, Nov 2009
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Arckaringa Project - Rationale Coal quality ideal for conversion to syngas using existing commercial technology High value fuels and chemical feedstocks Low cost and low emission power
Proven technologies High demand for product South Australia faces a shortage of base load power, needing additional > 1000 MW over the next 10 years CNOOC-NEI enables the targeting of coal and liquids exports to China and other Asian destinations
Financial backing secured through CNOOC JV and FIRB approval granted 8
Project Funding CNOOC-NEI funding BFS to: Evaluate integrated mining and high value coal conversion facilities based on the Arckaringa coal deposits Develop new projects, such as CTL and co-generation power, that reach bankable standard
Funding agreed for BFS of up to A$40m (approx £24m) Stage 1 - A$12m, Stage 2 – A$28m Historical expenditure and PFS investment in excess of A$20m
Over 12-15 months BFS Stage 1 will see undertaking of key work programmes including: Mine design, planning, groundwater engineering, environmental and numerous technical studies
£3m fundraising in March 2010 provided funding to Altona for 18 months 33,333,334 shares placed at 9 pence per share 9
BFS Development Schematic 2010
2011
2012
2013
JV Office establishment (Adelaide) Priority Early Works Plan
Potential drill programme
- Geology and Coal Resources - Groundwater Management - Environmental baseline studies - Mine Output and Design Options
Stage 1
- Product Market Research Detailed Works Mine Approvals process/ Environmental Impact Assessment Long term mine and groundwater management plan Infrastructure and Transport First Stage Cost Estimation Coal Processing and Utilisation selection Detailed engineering and design of selected processing plant option (integrated with mine)
Stage 2
Detailed engineering and design of transport and support infrastructure Environmental Impact Assessment and Approvals Construction and financing plans
Start Construction
BFS – Stage 1 Work Programme Stage 1 is anticipated to cover 12-15 months ahead of the detailed design of the selected coal processing project in Stage 2. Most of the elements below will be conducted in parallel.
Element
Scope of Work
Management and Conduct of Work
Priority Early Works
Early Works Plan, already agreed, covers the following elements and continues with work described in the sub sections below Review coal geology and resources/reserves and consider if supplemental drilling is needed Review and verify groundwater investigation results, and associated geotechnical studies Establish groundwater management research and design parameters Select and commence environmental baseline studies Review and select surface coal mining methodology options Continue product market research Delineate and allocate coal reserves for the long term mine plan
Overall - JV Operating Team Technical lead - CNOOC NEI, assisted by Altona and utilising in house project development and planning expertise expert consultants selected by JV partners and/or used by Altona
Conduct additional drilling (only if considered necessary for mine plans)
Chinese and local geological consultants Local drillers as required
Groundwater Management
Establish mine dewatering and water management prelim design and costs Prepare inputs to the Mine Plan and Environmental Impact Assessment
Local hydrogeological consultants and planners
Environmental baseline studies
Flora and fauna (all seasons), topography and land use, climatic database, local and aboriginal heritage, community profile and social impacts Covers areas in and around mine, potential transport corridors, GAB mound springs, local towns, other projects
Local environmental and social impact consultants
Mine Output and Design Options
Confirm volume and quality parameters for output options Define coal delivery chain → export and/or → feedstock for processing project(s) Select mine method and establish mining equipment options
Local mine design and planning consultants
Product Market Research
Review domestic and export market options for coal and processed products, including liquid fuels, chemical feedstocks and power Establish preliminary marketing plan and priorities
CNOOC and other Chinese marketing experts Local fuels and power market 11 analysts
Geology and Coal Resources
BFS – Stage 1 Work Programme Element
Scope of Work
Management and Conduct of Work
Detailed Works
Complete work necessary to establish a mine and associated groundwater management plan sufficient in detail and scope to establish the base case for a Mining Licence application Review and select coal processing options for engineering and design in Stage 2 of the BFS
Overall - JV Operating team and, if considered necessary, a Study Co-ordination Contractor or Engineer
Mine Approvals Process/ Environmental Impacts Assessment
Develop Mining Licence and Mining And Rehabilitation Plan (MARP) pathway with PIRSA Complete and compile baseline social impact/environmental studies ready for inclusion and integration with the environmental impact assessment of the selected coal processing project Define and specify coal reserve allocation mine design and plans to initial production and beyond dewatering and disposal method and costs coal quality profile mining equipment profile coal delivery chain elements
JV Operating team
Infrastructure and Transport
Rail and Port option studies and select preferred option(s) Accommodation, mine facilities and project social infrastructure studies
First Stage Cost Estimation
Complete capital and operating costs (+/- 10 to 30%) , including any coal beneficiation, for mining and infrastructure
Local transport and mine/social infrastructure consultants, plus input from government departments JV Operating team in conjunction with Study Engineer
Coal Processing and Utilisation
Review and select processing option (CTL/Power, SNG etc)
Long term mine and groundwater management plan
Complete Process Design package as basis for detailed engineering at BFS level in Stage 2
Local environmental and social impact consultants Local mine design and planning consultant
JV Partners, with input from CNOOC in China CTL/Power Process 12 Engineering Specialist
Coal To Liquids Fischer-Tropsch process – coal is gasified to form synthetic gas or ‘syngas’ which is condensed over a catalyst to produce high quality, ultra-clean products such as:
Premium diesel and jet fuels Synthetic waxes Lubricants Chemical feedstocks Alternative liquid fuel such as Methanol and Dimethyl ether
CTL offers a way for countries to access domestic coal reserves and decrease reliance on oil imports, improving energy security Coal-derived fuels are sulphur-free, low in particulates, and low in nitrogen oxides liquid fuels from coal provide ultra-clean cooking and transport fuels, alleviating health risks from indoor and outdoor air pollution South Africa has been producing coal-derived fuels since 1955 and has the only commercial coal to liquids industry in operation to date Currently 30% of SA gasoline and diesel are produced from indigenous coal
World’s first passenger aircraft test flight successfully completed in 2010 using 100% synthetic jet fuel produced from the CTL process
Multiple Product Options “CNOOC has the funding capacity to carry the CAPEX needed to maximise the potential of the Arckaringa energy bank”
Syngas key to unlocking high value Source: Jacobs Engineering
Arckaringa Project Outputs 14
Technology Progress
Source: US Dept. of Energy – New Energy Technology Laboratory “2010 World Gasification Database”, Oct 2010
Technology Progress Significant advances in design and deployment of gasification and F-T technology in past two years Leading process technologies Gasification – ConocoPhilips, Siemens SNG – Topsoe Fischer-Tropsch (FT) - Rentech
Current coal conversion projects include POSCO, Korea: SNG Plant 1 million tonnes pa in 2 phases Feedstock – sub bituminous coal
Total/China Power (NCPP 1) – Coal to Methanol/Polypropylene Plant 5,000 tpd Siemens SFG – 500 gasifiers (5), commissioning end 2010
Powerfuel, UK, IGCC Power Plant 900 MW CIC Energy, Botswana, CTL Plant 10,000 Bpd
FT Synthetic Fuel commercial milestones Rentech MOU with 13 American/international airlines to use “Renjet” aviation fuel (Dec 2009) Rentech LOI with Solena Group to supply FT technology for sustainable BioJetFuel project in UK (Nov 2010) EU and US fuel standards changed in 2009 to include synfuels and capture benefits of lower emissions and increased engine efficiency
Share Price Graph 30.03.10 – Placing to raise £3m at a price of 9p per share and Interim Results
21.04.10 - CNOOCNEIA’s submission of FIRB application
20.04.10 – Formal Signing of JV by Arckaringa Energy and CNOOC-NEIA
01.06.10 CNOOC-NEIA successful FIRB Assessment
19.07.10 - Arckinga Project Update
04.10.10 Commencement of BFS Work Programme
29.10.10 Final Results
06.12.10 Appointment of Peter Fagiano as Executive Director
Government Support
Support from South Australian Government “The South Australian Government welcomes foreign investment in its energy sector” (Hon. Paul Holloway, SA Minister for Mineral Resources Development, 18 Nov 2009)
Support from Australian Government “Energy security is absolutely critical to Australia’s economic prosperity and I believe coal-to-liquids and gas-to-liquids will play a major role in Australia’s energy future.” (Hon. Martin Ferguson, Minister for Resources and Energy, 26 February 2008)
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Summary
World class resource Politically stable country World class JV partner Proven commercial technologies Domestic and export markets BFS Funded BFS Work Programme under way Project finance pathway secured Unlimited long term development potential – multi project
Wintinna Mine area landscape
Contacts
Chris Lambert Altona Energy plc 18-19 Pall Mall, London, SW1Y 5LU Tel: +44 (0) 20 7024 8391 Chris Schrape Altona Energy plc Level 1, 117 King William Street Adelaide, South Australia 5000 Tel: +61 (0) 8 8203 1900
Appendix Financial Modelling Covering the Risks - Environmental, Political, Social, FIRB Government Support Benefits to South Australia Technology Joint Venture Investment
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Large Revenues and Low Production Costs CTL, Power and Mine
Results derived from Royal Bank of Scotland Project Economic Model
(Cumulative)
Capital US$m (+ / - 30%) CTL and Power Mine (incl. development opex)
The Project’s combination of CTL and power can reduce unit operating costs to the low end of the world cost curve
Est. Annual Revenue US$m - diesel @US$75/bbl** - power @US$30/MWh
Phase 1 and 2 Combined 10 MBPA
After Phase 3 15 MBPA
Industry Benchmarks for new Plants
2,706
4,035
500
670
750 150
1,125 225
US$35
< 35
35 – 65
US$20
< 20
25 – 50
Costs per Barrel, after Power Sales Revenue credit Total Project expenditure
US$/bbl Opex US$/bbl **Diesel price = Crude oil price plus $15/bbl
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Project ReturnsProject Financial Model (Equity Case) BASE CASE (No Hedging) 100% Diesel Fuel Output (0% Naptha) Power 562 MW Output @ US$30/MWh
IRR %
NPV @10% US$ million
PAYBACK
PAYBACK
Years from 1st Construction
Years from 1st Production
Fuel Product Prices** Diesel US$75/bbl (BASE CASE) Diesel US$50/bbl Diesel US$100/bbl (WORKING CASE)
15.1 7.7 21.0
681 (261) 1,633
11.0 16.5 9.0
6.5 12.0 4.5
Capital Costs Base Case + 10% Base Case – 10% Base Case – 20%
13.9 16.6 18.2
551 811 940
11.5 10.5 10.0
7.0 6.0 5.5
Operating Costs Base case + 10% Base Case – 10%
15.0 15.3
664 699
11.0 11.0
6.5 6.5
Power Prices Base Case + 25% (US$37.50/MWh) Base Case + 50% (US$45/MWh)
16.0 16.9
814 946
10.5 10.5
6.0 6.0
**Diesel price = Crude oil price plus $15/bbl
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Project Returns – Project Financial Model (Equity Case) BASE CASE (No Hedging) 50% Diesel Fuel, 50% Jet Fuel Output Power 562 MW Output @ US$30/MWh
IRR %
NPV @10% US$ million
PAYBACK
PAYBACK
Years from 1st Construction
Years from 1st Production
Fuel Product Prices** Diesel US$75/bbl Jet Fuel US$100/bbl (BASE CASE) Diesel @ US$50/bbl, Jet Fuel @US$85/bbl Diesel @ US$100/bbl, Jet Fuel @US$125/bbl
19.7 13.0 25.3
1,405 391 2,417
9.5 12.0 8.5
5.0 7.5 4.0
Capital Costs Base Case + 10% Base Case – 10% Base Case – 20%
18.3 21.4 23.3
1,274 1,534 1,663
10.0 9.0 9.0
5.5 4.5 4.5
29.5
2,677
8.0
3.5
30.9
2,942
8.0
3.5
SUPER UPSIDE CASES 1. Diesel @US$100/bbl, Jet Fuel @ US$125/bbl, Capital Costs – 20% 2. Diesel @ US$100/bbl, Jet Fuel @ US$125/bbl, Capital Costs – 20%, Power @ US$45/MWh
** Diesel price = Crude oil price plus $15/bbl, Jet fuel price = Crude oil price plus $40/bbl
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Covering the Risks - Environmental Water All process water is sourced from water intrinsically in the coals Open cut intersects the Great Artesian Basin (‘GAB’) and requires dewatering using conventional techniques Pro-active engagement with government at technical and political level Arckaringa Project research will expand knowledge base and improve environmental management of the GAB Regional centres and mining activities could derive high quality water from the Arckaringa Project
Carbon Dioxide Process requires CO2 stripping from raw gas stream: intrinsically CCS ready Founder member of the Global CCS Institute Opportunity to create a flagship CCS model in line with Australian Government policy
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Covering the Risks – Political & Social Government
Location: South Australia, a mining friendly state Long term and broad engagement We have supportive relationships South Australian Government has the Arckaringa Project in its published list of development projects Australian Federal Government acknowledges CTL and other clean energy projects as key contributors to energy security
Community Long term and extensive strategic engagement programmes in place for each affected community We have supportive local communities
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Covering the Risks - FIRB
Altona has strong relationships with, and support from the South Australian Government, particularly the Department of Primary Industries and Resources of SA (PIRSA)
CNOOC-NEI completed considerable due diligence prior to JV
FIRB notified CNOOC NEIA in May 2010 that the Australian Government had no objection to the terms of the Arckaringa JV
The latest FIRB report is for 2007-08:
China was the 6th largest foreign investor in Australia for 2007-08
Over 1,700 Chinese backed investments were approved by FIRB
Nearly A$7.5 billion was invested by China in Australia throughout the period, including over A$5.3 billion in the resource sectors
Of 7855 worldwide applications considered by FIRB, only 14 were rejected
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Government Support On Monday 21 June 2010, the Arckaringa UEJV was signed at an official ceremony in Canberra, in the presence of: Mr Xi Jinping – The Vice President of the People’s Republic of China Mr Kevin Rudd – The Prime Minister of Australia Mr Fu Chengyu – The President of CNOOC Mr Tom Koutsantonis – The Minister for Trade & Industry for South Australia
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Benefits for South Australia Employment potential 780 direct jobs - 550 in mining, 230 in the CTL/power plant
Clean fuel for domestic markets (mines, towns, the railway and SA/NT) and potential exports Expanded and upgraded electricity network for the Far North with back up to the national grid
Water Supply to regional towns, pastoral leases and Mine sites (subject to approvals)
Increasing volumes for the Tarcoola – Darwin railway (60km from Wintinna) Current activity – sporadic cattle grazing on the contiguous Arckaringa Station pastoral lease
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South Australian Resources
30
Technology With CO2 extraction and storage capability, the process is “Sequestration ready” and a prime example of Clean Coal Energy
Source: Jacobs Engineering 31
Joint Venture - Investment Phase
ONE
Corporate Entity Arckaringa Evaluation Joint Venture
Purpose
Bankable Feasibility Study
(Unincorporated)
TWO
Project Joint Venture (s)
Project Construction /Operations
Participant s
Shar e
Contribution
CNOOC – NEI (Australian Subsidiary)
51%
Full funding of BFS Representatives for the Management Committee (4) and Operating Team
Altona Energy (Australian Subsidiary)
49%
3 Arckaringa EL’s Project Pre-Feasibility Study Representatives for the Management Committee (3) and Operating Team
CNOOC – NEI (Australian Subsidiary)
70% min
Debt and equity funding share (CNOOC procures all project debt funding if development decision is made before BFS is completed) Management/Operations staff
Altona Energy (Australian Subsidiary)
30% max
Debt and equity funding share (CNOOC will assist Altona if not otherwise procuring all project debt) Management 32
Our Partner CNOOC and CNOOC-NEI China National Offshore Oil Corporation (‘CNOOC’) One of three major oil companies in China, China’s largest offshore oil and gas producer Established 1982, Headquarters in Beijing 51,000 employees worldwide Holds a 5.3% interest in Australia’s North West Shelf Project Active in oil and gas exploration in WA
CNOOC New Energy Investment Co. Ltd (‘CNOOC-NEI’)
Established 2007, Headquarters in Beijing Evaluates and develops new & alternate energy projects Special focus on innovative clean technologies Concentrates on large and strategic energy resources in secure environments to underpin profitable long term investments Planning several multi billion dollar investments worldwide over the next five years Standard& Poor’s and Moody give CNOOC, CNOOC Ltd. and CNOOC Finance A+/stable and A1/stable, equivalent to China’s sovereign ratings.
www.cnoocltd.com Results 2008
Billion RMB
£Billion
Sales
194.8
19.8
Profit
67.8
6.9
Total Assets
409.5
41.7
Ranking 80 among FT Global 500 in 2009
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Our Partner – CNOOC and CNOOC-NEI CNOOC-NEI’s objectives: Build a global coal resource base Develop coal mines to feed ‘Transformation’ projects World leader in Clean Coal Energy, including SNG and CTL www.cnoocltd.com
Altona developed the relationship with CNOOC from mid 2008 onwards MOU signed in August 2008 Terms Sheet signed Feb 2009 after CNOOC conducted 6 months of due diligence Joint Venture Agreement with CNOOC-NEI signed Nov 2009 Held first JV meeting in Sydney 7 December 2009 Formal signing of the UEJV Agreement completed 15 April 2010 Ceremonial signing with Chinese Vice President, Australian PM and President of CNOOC 22 June 2010 FIRB application submitted 21 April 2010 and approved on 31 May 2010
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