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ABENGOA. Solar Energy Opportunities. Completing Transformation. Michael Geyer. Innovative Technology Solutions for Sustainability
Innovative Technology Solutions for Sustainability ABENGOA “Solar Energy Opportunities” Completing Transformation 9th Annual Analyst and Investor Da...
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ABENGOA “Solar Energy Opportunities”
Completing Transformation 9th Annual Analyst and Investor Day
Michael Geyer International Buss. Development Director – Abengoa Solar New York City & London, April 7 & 9, 2015
Agenda
Energy market growth opportunities
Competitive strategy and products
Milestones achieved
Focal solar markets
2
Agenda
Energy demand growth
3
Where is energy demand growing?
Next 25 years the energy demand growth is outside OECD
Primary energy demand in Mtoe Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2014
4
Where is energy demand growing?
Majority power capacity additions will be in renewables Power generation capacity flows by source 2014-2040
10710
5955 GW
7200
2455
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2014
5
Where is energy demand growing?
Over a 4th of future renewable investments go into solar STE global capacity installed in GW 120 102 100
PV global capacity installed in GW 1 000
930
900 790
800
80
647
700
70
600 60 42
300
24
200
13 3
100
2012
2020
2025
364
400
40 20
505
500
2030
2035
2040
98
2012
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2014
6
Agenda
Competitive strength and products
7
Competitive strength and products
3 keys to success Drive cost down and performance up by innovation
Own Technology
•
3rd generation of parablic troughs
•
Superheated steam towers
•
Molten salt towers
First in having new projects ready to bid
Own International Development
Own Operation and Maintenance
•
development teams in all regions of the sunbelt
•
prospection of resource and land securement
•
obtainment of grid connection and permits
Best in maximizing production and performance •
Critical mass of STE plants worldwide
•
Online monitoring of their performance
•
Lessons learnt shared between all plants
8
Own Technology
Technology leader in the 3 key areas within STE and in HCPV STE Solar Thermal Electricity Tower
Trough
Storage
HCPV High Concentrated PV
Own Technology
Integrating STE and PV into Smart Solar Plants The STE advantages
STE
•
Dispatchable with thermal storage
•
Hybridable with conventional power in combined cycles and coal plants
•
Utility scale power generation
•
Stabilizes grids like a conventional power plant
The PV advantages
PV
Smart Solar Plant
•
Cost in many regions close to grid parity
•
Short construction times
•
High modularity
STE + PV = the smart solar match •
Minimize cost by taking advantage of PV cost reductions
•
Complement with STE and storage to match solar supply with local demand
•
Stabilize grid by smart control and operation
10
Own Technology
Abengoa’s smart solar technology box … Solar Thermal Technology Solar Tower
Parabolic Trough
Thermal Energy Storage from 3 hours
Power Block
… up to17 hours
Electrical Storage
Smart Control
Solar PV Technology Fixed
2-axis tracked high concentration
Copyright © Abengoa Solar, S.A. 2013. All rights reserved
11
Own Technology
Complementing STE with High Concentrated PV (HCPV)
Advantages of Abengoa HCPV Technology •
Current efficiency 32%, double than silicon, and room to go above 40% by 2020
•
power production curves following demand profile superior to existing PV technologies;
•
high precision, dual axis tracking system;
•
scalable in size from kW to MW;
•
greater synergies with final markets, reaching location values that out compete other PV technologies.
Copyright © Abengoa Solar, S.A. 2013. All rights reserved
12
Own Development
Abengoa has own international solar development teams Secure new solar projects by being first in new markets developing greenfield projects
Berlin Madrid, Sevilla, Almeria
San Francisco, Denver
Rome Algiers
Rabat
Mexico
Tel Aviv
Riyadh
preparing bids
Beijing
Dubai
measuring resource
Jaipur, Mumbai
securing land and servitudes Santiago de Chile
Upington, Johannesburg, Cape Town
obtaining all permits Sidney
obtaining grid connection securing local finance
Own O&M
Over 2040GWh generated worldwide in 2014 MW in construction
MW brought in operation
GWh generated
Third Parties
-
-
726,3
Agenda
Milestones Achieved
15
3 Milestones Achieved
By April 2015 Abengoa has 1603MW solar plants in operation and 680MW in construction Europe 693MW
USA 560MW
280MW Solana 280MW Mojave
693MW Spain 13x50MW Trough 10+20MW Tower 13MW PV 150MW Hassi R’mel
110MW Ashalim 100MW Shams
Africa Middle East 610MW
Latin America 420MW
210MW Atacama 1 210MW Atacama 2
50MW Khi 100MW Kaxu 100MW Xina
Competitive Technology
Proven performance improvements approaching competitiveness CSP efficiency evolution and comparison with combined cycles
Conventional power CSP
+75% 49% 37%
40%
53%
42%
39%
28%
PS10 / PS20
Solana
SH Tower Molten Salt Moten Salt Gas Tower Tower Plus Combined Cycle
Pulverized Supercritic Coal
17
Reducing Cost
We Have Followed our Predicted Roadmap and Will Keep Reducing Costs According to it
Saturated Steam
Superheated Steam
Molten Salt
18
Agenda
Focal Solar Markets
19
USA
Almost 3GW STE and 1.3GW Storage projected by 2020
CA 1600MW STE and 1300MW stand alone Storage
NV 230MW STE
Required solar projects that provide flexible capacity
CO 320MW STE
California NM 180MW STE
The US market is saturated with solar PV and wind
AZ 620MW STE
Source: NREL, SunShot and EIA Source: California Independent System Operator (CalISO)
20
South America
South America does first steps in solar
Chile 2025 20% renewables 1.2GW solar 1.6GW wind
Brazil: 2014-23 3.5GW solar
21
North Africa and Middle East
Project Opportunities in Africa and Middle East
Algeria published FiT for PV
Jordan targets 600MW PV for 2020 Gulf states 1GW solar
Morocco 2GW Solar Program
Egypt published 2GW FiT for PV
Southern Africa has potential of 6GW solar until 2025 Saudi Arabia announced 35GW solar for 2025
22
Asia and Australia
Over 120GW solar in Asia by 2020 India 2013-17 4-10 GW solar
China 2011-2015 35GW PV 1GW STE
India 2017-2020 20GW solar
China 2016-2020 47GW PV 3GW STE
Australia 20% renewable by 2020 23
Main Takeways
Dispatch ability of STE with storage covers volatility of PV and Wind
Abengoa is world leader in STE with Trough, Tower and Storage
Power market grows outside OECD countries, majorily in renewables
Continued focus on technology to create key differentiation
Abengoa is at the forefront of development in those new markets In combining STE and PV, Abengoa is offering most competitive dispatchable power
24
Innovative Technology Solutions for Sustainability
ABENGOA Thank you
April 7 & 9, 2015
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