Conference Program
5. The Program at a Glance
Monday, August 3rd
Day
Tuesday, August 4th
Day
Wednesday, August 5th
Day
Time
Activity
08:00 – 09:00
Registration
09:00 – 10:00
Opening Ceremony
Speaker(s) Local Authorities; G. Kalton
10:00 – 10:15
Coffee Break
10:15 – 11:45
Invited Talk 1
11:45 – 12:00
Break
12:00 – 13:00
Invited Talk 2
P. Lahiri
13:00 – 14:15
Lunch Break
Gatopardo Restaurant (1st floor)
14:15 – 16:15
Invited Talk 3
Panel – Recent Interesting App. of SAE Methods
16:15 – 16:30
Coffee Break
16:30 – 18:30
Special Topic Session 1
New Perspectives on SAE
18:30 – 19:30
Reception
Poster Session (Hallway, 2nd floor)
Time
R. Tiller + D. Pfeffermann; W. Bell (Discussant)
Activity
08:00 – 09:00
Registration
09:00 – 10:30
Special Topic Session 2
10:30 – 10:45
Coffee Break
Speaker(s) Small Area Applications
10:45 – 11:45
Invited Talk 4
11:45 – 12:00
Break
12:00 – 13:00
Invited Talk 5
D. Rubin
13:00 – 14:15
Lunch Break
Gatopardo Restaurant (1st floor)
14:15 – 15:45
Special Topic Session 3
SAE Foundation Issues
15:45 – 16:00
Coffee Break
16:00 – 17:00
Invited Talk 6
17:00 – 17:15
Break
17:15 – 18:30
Contributed Session 1
18:30 – 19:45
Break
19:45 – 22:00
Banquet
Time
M. Ghosh
A. Luna-Hernandez
Los Adobes de Argomedo Restaurant Activity
Speaker(s)
08:00 – 09:00
Registration
09:00 – 10:30
Special Topic Session 4
10:30 – 10:45
Coffee Break
10:45 – 11:45
Invited Talk 7
11:45 – 12:00
Break
12:00 – 13:00
Invited Talk 8
W. Fuller
13:00 – 14:15
Lunch Break
Gatopardo Restaurant (1st floor)
14:15 – 16:15
Invited Talk 9
Panel – SAE on Government Programs
16:15 – 16:30
Coffee Break
16:30 – 18:00
Contributed Session 2
18:00 – 18:15
Closing Ceremony
Non-Standard SAE Modeling J.N.K. Rao
6. The Program in Detail Monday August 3rd, 2015 08:00 – 09:00
Registration (Hallway, 2nd floor)
09:00 – 10:00
Opening Ceremony Authorities: • Dr. Ignacio Sánchez, Rector of Universidad Católica de Chile • Mrs. Ximena Clark, Director of Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas de Chile • Mr. Marcos Barraza, Minister of Ministerio de Desarrollo Social • Dr. Gloria Icaza, President of Sociedad Chilena de Estadísticas • Dr. Carolina Casas-Cordero, Local Organizing Committee SAE 2015 Key Note Speech: Meeting the Demand for Small Area Estimates: Direct and Indirect Estimation Methods • Dr. Graham Kalton, Westat (USA) Chair: David Bravo (Chile)
10:00 – 10:15
Coffee Break (Hallway, 2nd floor)
10:15 – 11:45
Invited Talk 1: Small Area Labor Force Statistics using Time Series Models Speakers: Richard Tiller (USA), Danny Pfeffermann (Israel) Discussant: William Bell (USA) Chair: Raymond Chambers (Australia)
11:45 – 12:00
Break
12:00 – 13:00
Invited Talk 2: Small Area Model Selection and Jackknife Speaker: Partha Lahiri (USA) Chair: Carolina Casas-Cordero (Chile)
13:00 – 14:15
Lunch Break (Gatopardo Restaurant, 1st floor)
14:15 – 16:15
Invited Talk 3: Panel on Recent Interesting Applications of Small Area Methods Organizers: Carolina Franco (USA), Junni Zhang (China) Speakers: • C. Franco (USA): Combining Estimates from Related Surveys via Bivariate Area-Level Models without Covariates. • J. Zhang (China): Bayesian Small Area Forecasting. • T. Fujii (Singapore): Application of Small Area Estimation to Geographic Targeting • S. Haslett (New Zealand): Diagnostic Techniques to Identify Anomalies in Small Area Estimation Models. • J. Suntornchost (Thailand): Bayesian Models for Poverty Mapping. Chair: Ralf Münnich (Germany)
16:15 – 16:30
Coffee Break (Hallway, 2nd floor)
Monday August 3rd, 2015 (continued) 16:30 – 18:30
Special Topic Session 1: New Perspectives on SAE Speakers: • Snigdhansu Chatterjee (USA): Small Area Inference using Resampling in the Presence of Transformations and Constraints. • Masayo Hirose (Japan): Simple Parametric Bootstrap Estimator of Mean Squared Error for EBLUP under the Fay-Herriot Small Area Model. • Yves Thibaudeau (USA): Conditional Probabilities for Small Subdomains Predictions in Panel Surveys. • Sumonkanti Das (Australia): Estimation of Small Area Distribution Functions under Heteroskedasticity • Trijya Singh (USA): A Robust Technique for Small Area Estimation in the Case of Missing Information on the Auxiliary Chair: Patricia Medrano (Chile)
18:30 – 19:30
Reception + Poster session (Hallway, 2nd floor) Poster presenters: • Carmen Armas (Peru): Combining Agricultural Surveys and Censuses to Develop a Typology of Small and Medium Family Farms in Peru. • José Luis Avila (Chile): Using the EM algorithm in Small Area Estimation by the FayHerriot Model. • Rohosen Bandyopadhyay (USA): Benchmarking the Observed Best Predictor. • Isabelle Beaudry (USA): Inference for Respondent-Driven Sampling with Misclassification. • Andreea Erciulescu (USA): Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Small Area Means. • Judith Law (USA): The Effect of Nonstationarity on the Rao-Yu EBLUP Derived under the Assumption of Stationarity. • Carla Leal (Chile): Evaluating Concordance between Chilean Comuna-level Poverty Rates Estimated using a Design-based Method and a SAE Method. • Sepideh Mosaferi (USA): An Adjusted Estimator for the Fay-Herriot Log-level Model with Measurement Error in Covariates. • Jiyoun Myung (USA): Robust Small Area Estimation Modelling both the Mean and the Variance.
Tuesday August 4th, 2015 08:00 – 09:00
Registration (Hallway, 2nd floor)
09:00 – 10:30
Special Topic Session: Small Area Applications Speakers: • Isabel Molina (Spain): Small Area Estimation of General Parameters under Complex Sampling Designs. • Ralf Munnich (Germany): Small Area Estimation of Spruce Timber using Penalized BSplines. • Bac Tran (USA): Estimation of Employment for Small Areas Using the U.S. Census Bureau’s Annual Survey of Public Employment and Payroll. • William R. Waldron (USA): Empirical Bayes Estimation of Radio Ratings for Small Geographic Areas Chair: David Niculcar (Chile)
10:30 – 10:45
Coffee Break (Hallway, 2nd floor)
10:45 – 11:45
Invited Talk 4: Small Area Estimation with Health Applications Speaker: Malay Ghosh (USA) Chair: Gloria Icaza (Chile)
11:45 – 12:00
Break
12:00 – 13:00
Invited Talk 5: On the Conditionally Calibrated Bayesian in Design and Analysis Speaker: Donald Rubin (USA) Chair: David Bravo (Chile)
13:00 – 14:15
Lunch Break (Gatopardo Restaurant, 1st floor)
14:15 – 15:45
Special Topic Session 3: SAE Foundation Issues Speakers: • David Haziza (Canada): A Unified Framework for Robust Small Area Estimation. • Alan H. Dorfman (USA): Valid Confidence Intervals for Small Area Estimates. • Jae-Kwang Kim (USA): Measurement Error Model Approach to Small or Large Area Estimation Incorporating Several Sources of Information. • Marcin Szymkowiak (Poland): Robust Model Based Approach to Assess Accuracy of Internet Data Sources. Chair: Wayne Fuller (USA)
15:45 – 16:00
Coffee Break (Hallway, 2nd floor)
16:00 – 17:00
Invited Talk 6: From Start to Finish: Specify – Analyse / Adapt – Evaluate (SAE) Speaker: Angela Luna-Hernandez (UK) Chair: Luis Villarroel (Chile)
17:00 – 17:15
Break
Tuesday August 4th, 2015 (continued) 17:15 – 18:30
Contributed Session 1 Speakers: • Alvaro Castillo (Chile): Geographical Distribution of Alcohol-attributable Mortality in Chile: a Bayesian Spatial Analysis. • Santanu Pramanik (India): Vaccination Coverage in India: A Small Area Estimation Approach. • Gloria Icaza (Chile): Lung Cancer Mortality in Chile: Spatio-Temporal Analysis. • Jan Pablo Burgard (Germany): Small Area Estimation of Biodiversity Measures. Chair: Malay Ghosh (USA)
18:30 – 19:30
Break
19:30 – 22:00
Banquet • Bus Pick-Up: from 19:30 to 19:45, Centro de Extensión UC (main entrance). • Dinner: from 20:00 to 23:00, Los Adobes de Argomedo Restaurant. • Bus Drop-Off: from 23:00 to 23:10 at Centro de Extensión UC (main entrance) Crowne Plaza Hotel El Fundador Hotel
Wednesday August 5th, 2015 08:00 – 09:00
Registration (Hallway, 2nd floor)
09:00 – 10:30
Special Topic Session 4: Non-Standard SAE Modeling Speakers: • Mamadou S. Diallo (USA): Bayesian Monte Carlo Method for Estimating Small Area Complex Parameters under Unit-level Models with Skew-Normal Errors. • Oksana Bollineni-Balabay (Netherlands): Multilevel Modeling within the Hierarchical Bayesian Approach Against Structural Unobserved Component Modeling in a Time Series Small Area Application: The Case of the Dutch Travel Survey. • Michail Sverchkov (USA): Small Area Estimation under Informative Sampling and Nonresponse. • Monica Pratesi (Italy): Small Area Estimation Models with Outliers in Covariates. Chair: Isabel Molina (Spain)
10:30 – 10:45
Coffee Break (Hallway, 2nd floor)
10:45 – 11:45
Invited Talk 7: Measuring uncertainty of Small Area Estimators Speaker: J.N.K. Rao (Canada) Chair: Claudia Matus (Chile)
11:45 – 12:00
Break
12:00 – 13:00
Invited Talk 8: Bootstrap Methods for Small Area Predictions Speaker: Wayne Fuller (USA) Chair: Manuel Galea (Chile)
13:00 – 14:15
Lunch Break (Gatopardo Restaurant, 1st floor)
14:15 – 16:15
Invited Talk 9: Panel on Small Area Methodology in Government Programs Organizers: Ray Chambers (Australia), Domingo Morales (Spain), Denisse Silva (Brazil) Speakers: • Christine Bycroft (New Zealand), Statistics New Zealand. • Débora Souza (Brazil), Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics • Carol Crawford (USA), National Agricultural Statistics Service. • Alan Dorfman (USA), National Center for Health Statistics. • Frauke Kreuter (Germany), IAB Statistical Methods group, University of Mannheim, University of Maryland. • Isabel Millán (Chile), Ministerio de Desarrollo Social. Chair: Ray Chambers (Australia)
16:15 – 16:30
Coffee Break (Hallway, 2nd floor)
16:30 – 18:00
Contributed Session 2 Speakers: • Tomasz Józefowski (Poland): Small Area Estimation in the Light of the Europe 2020 Strategy. • Luis Firinguetti (Chile): A Simulation Study of Properties of Partial Least Squares and Ridge Regression. • Marcin Szymkowiak (Poland): At Risk of Poverty Mapping in Poland at NUTS 4 using Small Area Estimation Methods. • Wojciech Roszka (Poland): Synthetic Data Sources in the Spatial Analysis of Poverty in Poland. Chair: Matías Pizarro (Chile)
18:00 – 18:15
Closing Ceremony
