3Q16 Earnings Conference Call André B. Gerdau Johannpeter President & Chief Executive Officer
Harley Lorentz Scardoelli Chief Financial Officer
Gerdau is the pioneer in the world steel industry in industrial equipment monitoring systems, thanks to its partnership with GE Digital
Slight increase in demand for steel is expected in 2016, after the decline last year World steel demand should increase 0.2% in 2016 compared to 2015, reaching 1.5 billion tonnes, after dropping 3% in 2015 (Worldsteel Association). Surplus global installed capacity and unfair trade practices remain industry concerns. Add to this the economic recession in Brazil, which is reflected in lower demand. In Brazil, steel consumption in 2016 should drop 14%, the worst level in the last decade. In 2017, domestic consumption should increase 3.8% (Brazilian Steel Institute). In North America, the increase in imports, the caution surrounding the elections in the U.S. and weak industry demand have affected margins in the sector. In 2017, steel consumption should grow 3% in the U.S. In South America, the highlights are the bright prospects in 2017 for the economies of Peru (+4.1%), Colombia (+2.7%) and Argentina (+2.7%). In the Special Steels segment, the automotive sector in Brazil should improve in 2017. In the Unites States, the light vehicles market should continue its healthy performance. In India, the automotive sector is expected to remain buoyant.
Global steel demand in 2017 should grow 0.5%. Excluding China, demand in emerging economies and developing countries should grow 4% 2
Net sales of R$ 8.7 billion in 3Q16 Reduction of 23% in selling, general and administrative expenses compared to 3Q15 reflects the Company's cost management efforts. In the first nine months, SG&A expenses decreased by R$ 222 million. Adjusted EBITDA of R$ 1.2 billion is 7% lower than in 3Q15 but remains stable in relation to 2Q16. Net income of R$ 95 million in the quarter and R$ 293 million in the year. Unit
3Q16
3Q15
∆%
9M16
9M15
∆%
SHIPMENTS
'000 ton
3,668
4,669
-21%
11,759
13,083
-10%
NET SALES
R$ million
8,699
11,925
-27%
29,032
33,123
-12%
COST OF GOODS SOLD
R$ million
(7,652)
(10,714)
-29%
(26,090)
(29,628)
-12%
SG&A EXPENSES
R$ million
(483)
(631)
-23%
(1,705)
(1,927)
-11%
EBITDA Adjusted
R$ million
1,200
1,291
-7%
3,332
3,591
-7%
EBITDA MARGIN Adjusted
%
13.8%
10.8%
11.5%
10.8%
R$ million
95
193
-51%
293
725
-60%
R$ million
230
1,646
-86%
1,048
1,797
-42%
NET INCOME Adjusted FREE CASH FLOW
Free cash flow of R$ 1.0 billion in the first nine months of 2016 3
Investments of R$ 286 million in 3Q16
7% Brazil 20%
South America 50%
23%
North America Special Steel
Main projects Heavy plate rolling mill at Ouro Branco Unit in Minas Gerais Melt shop in Argentina CAPEX disbursement planned for 2017 is R$1.4 billion, focused on productivity improvement and maintenance
4
Financial Results Gerdau S.A. Consolidated – IFRS
Geographic diversification reduces volatility in results Shipments ('000 ton) North America BD
Brazil BD 1,938 1,629
3Q15
2Q16
1,664
1,482
South America BD
Special Steel BD
1,644 1,372
3Q16
3Q15
2Q16
3Q16
583
532
516
617
595
3Q15
2Q16
3Q16
3Q15
2Q16
437
3Q16
EBITDA and EBITDA margin per BD North America BD
Brazil BD
19.7%
470
13.2%
12.6%
585
402
15.5% 10.7%
519
9.5%
7.9%
408 274
3Q15
2Q16
EBITDA (R$ million)
3Q16
16.6%
32.5%
32.2%
3Q15
2Q16
EBITDA Margin (%)
Special Steel BD
South America BD
3Q16
18.7%
14.0%
13.6%
16.8%
10.2%
9.1%
187
157
224
267
130
233
3Q15
2Q16
3Q16
3Q15
2Q16
3Q16
Participation of Adjusted EBITDA per BD (last 12 months)
6
EBITDA stable despite challenging scenario EBITDA (R$ million) 148
2,956
31
1,291
1,200
(2,374) (852) EBITDA 3Q15 Shipments Adjusted
Net Cost of Sales Sales/tonne*
SG&A
Others
EBITDA 3Q16 Adjusted
* Includes Net Sales of Iron Ore
Net Income (R$ million) 105 193
12
(91)
Net Income EBITDA Variation Adjusted 3Q15
Depreciation
Net Financial Result*
(124)
95
Income Taxes and others*
Adjusted Net Income 3Q16
* Net of the effect from Net Investment Hedge.
SG&A reduced 23% compared to 3Q15 7
Maintenance of Net Debt Debt & Leverage Ratio
Long-Term Debt Amortization Schedule
R$ billion
R$ billion 3.5
27.6
26.5 3.7x
4.2x
23.7
3.6x
4.1x
20.7 4.1x
21.1
3.6x
4.0x 3.6x
4.9
5.3
4.0x
2.6 2.7*
2.0
3.3
1.9
2.7x
6.7
6.9
5.5
1.7 0.9 0.2
Sep/15
Dec/15 Gross Debt
Mar/16
Net debt/EBITDA (R$)
Jun/16 Cash
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
Net debt/EBITDA (US$)
Average Debt Cost: 7.4%
(1) EBITDA in the last 12 months.
Sep/16
2025 and after
Average Debt Term: 5.5 years
*R$ 2.6 billion refers to a bond with maturity in October 2017.
Stability of the Net Debt/EBITDA ratio 8
Net sales reduction affected the financial cycle Working Capital (R$ million) Trade accounts receivable (+) Inventories (+) Trade accounts payable (-) Working Capital
12.31.2015
06.30.2016
09.30.2016
4,587 8,781 3,630 9,738
4,043 6,764 2,757 8,050
4,091 6,911 2,558 8,444
11.4 9.7
9.3 8.1
86
84
8.4
87
83 71
sep.15
dec.15
mar.16
Working Capital (R$ billions)
jun.16
sep.16
Cash Conversion Cicle (days)
Working capital reduced by R$ 1.3 billion in 2016
9
Positive free cash flow despite the challenging scenario 3Q2016 1,200
(286)
(40) (255)
Adjusted EBITDA 3Q16
CAPEX
Income Tax
(1,097)
(132)
Debt Interest
(389)
230
Working Capital
Free Cash Flow 3Q16
9M2016 3,332
(856)
(199)
1,048 Adjusted EBITDA 9M 2016
CAPEX
Income Tax
Debt Interest
Working Capital
Free Cash Flow 9M 2016
EBITDA was more than sufficient to honor the Company’s commitments 10
Closing Remarks Management's efforts helped to mitigate the impact of the adverse scenario in the steel industry in Brazil and around the world. Third Quarter Highlights: - Reduction in selling, general and administrative expenses (-23%) - Improvement in EBITDA margins in almost all operations - Continued containment of Capex (R$ 286 million in 3Q) - Substantial free cash flow generation (R$ 1 billion in 9 months) - Stability of net debt Brazil: despite the improvement in margins, the market scenario is expected to remain challenging in the coming months, marked by a gradual and slow recovery in economic activity and lower volume of exports. The challenging scenario also applies to other operations in the Americas. Ongoing review of the potential profitability of assets. Modernization of corporate culture. Digital innovation in operations, with the use of new technologies to rapidly improve efficiency and productivity and to cut costs. 11
4Q16 Earnings Release: February 22, 2017
22 FEBRUARY
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